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Tropical Depression Boris Graphics
2020-06-26 16:43:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 26 Jun 2020 14:43:50 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 26 Jun 2020 14:43:50 GMT
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boris
Tropical Depression Boris Forecast Discussion Number 9
2020-06-26 16:42:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 500 AM HST Fri Jun 26 2020 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 261442 TCDEP3 Tropical Depression Boris Discussion Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032020 500 AM HST Fri Jun 26 2020 Boris is showing signs of being affected by vertical wind shear, with the strongest convection now being displaced a little to the northeast of the center. The initial intensity remains 30 kt as a blend of subjective estimates from TAFB and SAB and the CIMSS satellite consensus. A combination of shear, dry mid-level air, and marginal sea-surface temperatures is expected to produce a slow weakening trend, with the cyclone now forecast to degenerate to a remnant low by 48 h and dissipate completely after 72 h. The new intensity forecast lies near the intensity consensus. The initial motion is west-northwestward or 295/7. Boris should move west-northwestward during the next day or so while the small cyclone remains to the south of a low- to mid-level ridge. After that time, the weakening cyclone is forecast to turn westward, then west-southwestward with some increase in forward speed in the low-level trade wind flow. The new official track forecast has only minor adjustments from the previous forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/1500Z 12.0N 139.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 27/0000Z 12.2N 139.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 27/1200Z 12.5N 141.0W 25 KT 30 MPH 36H 28/0000Z 12.5N 142.5W 25 KT 30 MPH 48H 28/1200Z 12.4N 144.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 29/0000Z 12.1N 146.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 29/1200Z 11.5N 148.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
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Summary for Tropical Depression Boris (EP3/EP032020)
2020-06-26 16:42:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...BORIS CONTINUES MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... As of 5:00 AM HST Fri Jun 26 the center of Boris was located near 12.0, -139.0 with movement WNW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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boris
Tropical Depression Boris Public Advisory Number 9
2020-06-26 16:42:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 500 AM HST Fri Jun 26 2020 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 261442 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Boris Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032020 500 AM HST Fri Jun 26 2020 ...BORIS CONTINUES MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.0N 139.0W ABOUT 1195 MI...1920 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 2055 MI...3305 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Boris was located near latitude 12.0 North, longitude 139.0 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this motion should continue through tonight. A turn toward the west is expected late tonight or on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Boris is forecast to degenerate to a remnant low pressure area Saturday night or Sunday, The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Depression Boris Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2020-06-26 16:42:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUN 26 2020 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 261442 PWSEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BORIS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032020 1500 UTC FRI JUN 26 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BORIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 139.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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