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Remnants of Enrique Forecast Discussion Number 23
2021-06-30 22:36:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM MDT Wed Jun 30 2021 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 302036 TCDEP5 Remnants Of Enrique Discussion Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052021 300 PM MDT Wed Jun 30 2021 Enrique has been devoid of deep, organized convection for over 12 hours today. In addition, visible satellite imagery and earlier passive microwave data suggested that the original center has been absorbed by a broad trough of low pressure centered farther southeast near the coast of Baja California Sur. Therefore, this will be the final NHC advisory on the remnants of Enrique. The remnant trough is expected to move west-northwestward over Baja California Sur tonight. Key Messages: 1. Swells generated by Enrique will affect portions of the western coast of Mexico and the coast of Baja California Sur during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 30/2100Z 24.5N 110.3W 20 KT 25 MPH 12H 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Brown
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Remnants of Enrique Wind Speed Probabilities Number 23
2021-06-30 22:35:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED JUN 30 2021 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 302035 PWSEP5 REMNANTS OF ENRIQUE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052021 2100 UTC WED JUN 30 2021 AT 2100Z THE REMNANTS OF ENRIQUE WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 20 KTS...25 MPH...35 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE IS NO OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR THIS DATE/TIME... AND THEREFORE NO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES CAN BE CALCULATED... $$ FORECASTER REINHART/BROWN
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Summary for Remnants of Enrique (EP5/EP052021)
2021-06-30 22:34:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...ENRIQUE HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY... As of 3:00 PM MDT Wed Jun 30 the center of Enrique was located near 24.5, -110.3 with movement WNW at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1010 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 25 mph.
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Remnants of Enrique Public Advisory Number 23
2021-06-30 22:34:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM MDT Wed Jun 30 2021 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 302034 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Remnants Of Enrique Advisory Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052021 300 PM MDT Wed Jun 30 2021 ...ENRIQUE HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.5N 110.3W ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM N OF LA PAZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the remnants of Enrique were located near latitude 24.5 North, longitude 110.3 West. The remnants are moving toward the west-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by the remnants of Enrique will affect portions of the western coast of Mexico and the coast of Baja California Sur tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Brown
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Remnants of Enrique Forecast Advisory Number 23
2021-06-30 22:34:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED JUN 30 2021 695 WTPZ25 KNHC 302034 TCMEP5 REMNANTS OF ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052021 2100 UTC WED JUN 30 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 110.3W AT 30/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 110.3W AT 30/2100Z AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 110.1W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.5N 110.3W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. $$ FORECASTER REINHART/BROWN
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