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Tropical Storm KEVIN Public Advisory Number 13

2015-09-03 22:44:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 PM PDT THU SEP 03 2015 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 032044 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KEVIN ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142015 200 PM PDT THU SEP 03 2015 ...KEVIN CONTINUES NORTHWARD... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.7N 115.8W ABOUT 480 MI...770 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kevin was located near latitude 18.7 North, longitude 115.8 West. Kevin is moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h), and a turn toward the northwest and west-northwest is expected over the next 48 hours. Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening remains possible during the next day or so. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch

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Tropical Storm KEVIN Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13

2015-09-03 22:44:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 03 2015 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 032044 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM KEVIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142015 2100 UTC THU SEP 03 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KEVIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Tropical Storm KEVIN Graphics

2015-09-03 16:53:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 03 Sep 2015 14:50:41 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 03 Sep 2015 14:52:20 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm KEVIN (EP4/EP142015)

2015-09-03 16:33:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...KEVIN STRENGTHENS... As of 8:00 AM PDT Thu Sep 3 the center of KEVIN was located near 17.9, -115.6 with movement N at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

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