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Summary for Tropical Storm Elsa (AT5/AL052021)
2021-07-08 11:11:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...CENTER OF ELSA MOVES INTO SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND STATES... As of 5:00 AM EDT Thu Jul 8 the center of Elsa was located near 33.4, -81.3 with movement NE at 18 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm Elsa Public Advisory Number 33
2021-07-08 11:11:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM EDT Thu Jul 08 2021 000 WTNT35 KNHC 080910 CCA TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Elsa Advisory Number 33...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052021 500 AM EDT Thu Jul 08 2021 Corrected warning section ...CENTER OF ELSA MOVES INTO SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND STATES... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.4N 81.3W ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM WNW OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM WSW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect north of Great Egg Inlet, New Jersey to Sandy Hook, New Jersey, and for the coast of Long Island from East Rockaway Inlet to the eastern tip along the south shore and from Port Jefferson Harbor eastward on the north shore. A Tropical Storm Warning is also in effect from New Haven, Connecticut to Merrimack River, Massachusetts including Cape Cod, Block Island, Martha's Vineyard, and Nantucket. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Altamaha Sound, Georgia, to Sandy Hook, New Jersey * Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds * Chesapeake Bay south of North Beach and the tidal Potomac south of Cobb Island * Delaware Bay south of Slaughter Beach * Long Island from East Rockaway Inlet to the eastern tip along the south shore and from Port Jefferson Harbor eastward on the north shore * New Haven, Connecticut to Merrimack River, Massachusetts including Cape Cod, Block Island, Martha's Vineyard, and Nantucket A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Interests elsewhere in the northeastern United States and the Canadian Maritimes should monitor the progress of Elsa. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Elsa was located near latitude 33.4 North, longitude 81.3 West. Elsa is moving toward the northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue with an increase in forward speed during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, Elsa will move over South Carolina and North Carolina today, pass near the eastern mid-Atlantic states by tonight, and move near or over the northeastern United States on Friday and Friday night. The system should move over Atlantic Canada by Friday night and Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some re-strengthening is possible tonight and Friday while the system moves close to the northeastern United States. Elsa is forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone Friday night or Saturday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) mainly over water to the southeast of the center. The NOAA station at Folly Island, South Carolina, recently reported sustained winds of 38 mph (61 km/h) and a wind gust of 46 mph (74 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Elsa can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5, WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?key_messages. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Tropical Storm Warning area along the Georgia coast for the next few hours, along the South Carolina coast this morning, along the North Carolina coast later today, and along the mid-Atlantic coast by this afternoon. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area in the mid-Atlantic and northeastern states by Friday and Friday night. Non-tropical gale warnings are in effect for portions of the U. S. coast north of the Tropical Storm Warning area, and gale conditions are expected in this area late Friday and Friday night. RAINFALL: Elsa is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts and impacts the rest of this week: Across portions of South Carolina, storm totals of 3 to 5 inches with isolated maximum amounts up to 8 inches are likely through Thursday, which may result in limited flash and urban flooding. Across central and eastern North Carolina into southeastern Virginia and from the Mid-Atlantic into New England...2 to 4 inches of rain with isolated totals up to 6 inches on Thursday through Friday are possible, which could result in limited-to-considerable flash and urban flooding, as well as isolated minor river flooding. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible across the eastern Carolinas into southeast Virginia through this afternoon. The threat for a tornado or two may continue tonight into Friday morning across coastal portions of the Mid-Atlantic to southern New England. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Storm Elsa Forecast Advisory Number 33
2021-07-08 11:11:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUL 08 2021 266 WTNT25 KNHC 080910 CCA TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ELSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 0900 UTC THU JUL 08 2021 CORRECTED WARNING SECTION CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT NORTH OF GREAT EGG INLET... NEW JERSEY TO SANDY HOOK...NEW JERSEY...AND FOR THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND FROM EAST ROCKAWAY INLET TO THE EASTERN TIP ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE AND FROM PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR EASTWARD ON THE NORTH SHORE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM NEW HAVEN... CONNECTICUT TO MERRIMACK RIVER...MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING CAPE COD...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD...AND NANTUCKET. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA TO SANDY HOOK...NEW JERSEY * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS * CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NORTH BEACH AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC SOUTH OF COBB ISLAND * DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH * LONG ISLAND FROM EAST ROCKAWAY INLET TO THE EASTERN TIP ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE AND FROM PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR EASTWARD ON THE NORTH SHORE * NEW HAVEN...CONNECTICUT TO MERRIMACK RIVER...MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING CAPE COD...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD...AND NANTUCKET A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES AND THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ELSA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 81.3W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 81.3W AT 08/0900Z...INLAND AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 82.0W...INLAND FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 35.5N 79.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 38.8N 75.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 130SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 42.5N 70.1W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 140SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 46.9N 63.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 140SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 51.9N 54.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 56.6N 44.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.4N 81.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 08/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Storm Elsa Forecast Discussion Number 33
2021-07-08 11:01:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM EDT Thu Jul 08 2021 000 WTNT45 KNHC 080901 TCDAT5 Tropical Storm Elsa Discussion Number 33 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052021 500 AM EDT Thu Jul 08 2021 Doppler radar and surface observation indicate that the center of Elsa is moving into southern South Carolina at this time. The organization of the storm has changed little during the past several hours, with a complex of bands in the eastern semicircle. The initial intensity is 35 kt, and these winds are occurring along an area of the coast and coastal waters well southeast of the center. The initial motion is now 035/16. The track guidance is in good agreement that Elsa should accelerate northeastward during the next few days as it becomes entrained into the mid-latitude southwesterly flow, with the track carrying the system across the Carolinas and the mid-Atlantic states during the next 24 hours, then near or over southeastern New England and Atlantic Canada. The new forecast track is basically an update of the previous track, and it is very close to the consensus models. Rawinsonde data and GOES-16 RGB airmass imagery show an upper-level shortwave trough over the southeastern United States to the west of Elsa, and the global models forecast this system to follow the cyclone northeastward and take on a negative tilt. This should result in increasing upper-level divergence over Elsa, which in turn should lead to some strengthening as the storm moves near or over the east coast of the United States. The 00Z ECMWF model is not as bullish on intensification as its previous run, but it and the 00Z UKMET still call for strengthening, and even the weaker GFS forecasts the favorable upper-air pattern. Based on this, the new intensity forecast shows a little more strengthening than the previous forecast. Based on the new forecast track, the tropical storm warning has been extended northward along the United States east coast to Massachusetts. Non-tropical gale warnings are in effect for the coastal areas to the north of the tropical storm warning due to the likelihood that Elsa will become extratropical as it reaches that area. Key Messages: 1. As Elsa moves across the Carolinas Thursday, heavy rainfall may result in limited flash and urban flooding. Heavy rainfall from the Mid-Atlantic into New England Thursday and Friday could lead to considerable flash and urban flooding. 2. Tropical storm conditions are expected along portions of the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina this morning. Tropical storm conditions are also expected along the coasts of North Carolina starting later today and the mid-Atlantic by this afternoon or tonight. Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of the southern New England states and New York by Friday. Gale winds are expected over the portions of the New Hampshire and Maine coasts by late Friday or Friday night, and those conditions are possible over portions of Atlantic Canada Friday night and Saturday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/0900Z 33.4N 81.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 12H 08/1800Z 35.5N 79.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 24H 09/0600Z 38.8N 75.2W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND 36H 09/1800Z 42.5N 70.1W 45 KT 50 MPH...OVER WATER 48H 10/0600Z 46.9N 63.6W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 60H 10/1800Z 51.9N 54.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 11/0600Z 56.6N 44.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 96H 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Storm Elsa Wind Speed Probabilities Number 33
2021-07-08 10:43:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUL 08 2021 000 FONT15 KNHC 080843 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM ELSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 0900 UTC THU JUL 08 2021 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) X(22) X(22) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 26(33) X(33) X(33) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 14(14) 8(22) X(22) X(22) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 23(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 36(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 21(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 26(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 28(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) WORCESTER MA 34 X 1( 1) 16(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) 20(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) HYANNIS MA 34 X 1( 1) 33(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NANTUCKET MA 34 X 1( 1) 43(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X 1( 1) 34(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X 2( 2) 14(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X 1( 1) 16(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) HARTFORD CT 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) NEW LONDON CT 34 X 1( 1) 23(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) NEW LONDON CT 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MONTAUK POINT 34 X 1( 1) 37(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ISLIP NY 34 X 2( 2) 19(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X 4( 4) 18(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X 3( 3) 8(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) NEWARK NJ 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) TRENTON NJ 34 X 6( 6) 6(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X 5( 5) 9(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PHILADELPHIA 34 X 10(10) 6(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X 15(15) 9(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) BALTIMORE MD 34 X 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) DOVER DE 34 X 23(23) 3(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) DOVER DE 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 15(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) WASHINGTON DC 34 X 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X 36(36) 6(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 46(46) 3(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X 28(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) WALLOPS CDA 34 X 47(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) WALLOPS CDA 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) RICHMOND VA 34 X 24(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) DANVILLE VA 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NORFOLK NAS 34 X 44(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) NORFOLK NAS 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK VA 34 X 45(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 41(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) ELIZABETH CTY 34 1 26(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) GREENSBORO NC 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) RALEIGH NC 34 12 10(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) ROCKY MT NC 34 5 33(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) CAPE HATTERAS 34 1 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) FAYETTEVILLE 34 34 3(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) CHARLOTTE NC 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHERRY PT NC 34 4 7(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) NEW RIVER NC 34 2 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MOREHEAD CITY 34 3 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SURF CITY NC 34 8 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) WILMINGTON NC 34 10 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) BALD HEAD ISL 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) FLORENCE SC 34 38 X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) COLUMBIA SC 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) LITTLE RIVER 34 13 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) MYRTLE BEACH 34 15 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) GEORGETOWN SC 34 17 X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) CHARLESTON SC 34 27 X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 87 X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) SAVANNAH GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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