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Post-Tropical Cyclone Epsilon Public Advisory Number 29
2020-10-26 03:34:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 300 AM GMT Mon Oct 26 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 260234 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Epsilon Advisory Number 29 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 300 AM GMT Mon Oct 26 2020 ...EPSILON BECOMES A POWERFUL POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC... ...THIS WILL BE THE LAST NHC ADVISORY ON EPSILON... SUMMARY OF 300 AM GMT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...48.6N 38.8W ABOUT 675 MI...1090 KM ENE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 46 MPH...74 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM GMT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Epsilon was located near latitude 48.6 North, longitude 38.8 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 46 mph (74 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Monday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or so before the post-tropical cyclone is absorbed by a large extratropical low pressure system on Monday night or early Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 450 miles (720 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 968 mb (28.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon will affect Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, the Leeward Islands, portions of the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada through Monday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Epsilon. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Zelinsky
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Tropical Storm Epsilon Graphics
2020-10-25 21:38:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 25 Oct 2020 20:38:38 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 25 Oct 2020 21:25:17 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm Epsilon (AT2/AL272020)
2020-10-25 21:36:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...LARGE EPSILON IS NEARLY EXTRATROPICAL AS IT CONTINUES RACING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD... ...HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS POSSIBLE ALONG ATLANTIC BEACHES THROUGH MONDAY... As of 9:00 PM GMT Sun Oct 25 the center of Epsilon was located near 46.2, -44.3 with movement ENE at 46 mph. The minimum central pressure was 964 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
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Tropical Storm Epsilon Forecast Discussion Number 28
2020-10-25 21:36:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 900 PM GMT Sun Oct 25 2020 000 WTNT42 KNHC 252036 TCDAT2 Tropical Storm Epsilon Discussion Number 28 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 900 PM GMT Sun Oct 25 2020 Epsilon is nearly extratropical, with late morning scatterometer data showing that the circulation has become stretched out as the cyclone interacts with a high-latitude low pressure system and an associated mid- upper-level trough to its north. The main reason that the cyclone is still classifiable as a tropical cyclone is persistent deep convection very near the center of circulation. Based on the scatterometer data showing an area of peak winds of 56 kt, the initial intensity is being lowered to 60 kt. What remains of the trapped tropical airmass near the center of the cyclone supporting the deep convection should mix out over the next few hours, as Epsilon moves over cold waters of about 15 degrees C and continues to wrap cooler and stable air into its circulation. The post-tropical cyclone will remain large and powerful until it is absorbed by another large extratropical low over the north Atlantic in about 24-36 h. Epsilon is racing east-northeastward at around 40 kt, embedded within the mid-latitude westerlies. A fast east-northeastward or northeastward motion is expected to continue until the system gets absorbed by the aforementioned high-latitude low pressure system. The latest NHC forecast track is essentially an update of the previous one and remains in the middle of the tightly clustered consensus guidance. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/2100Z 46.2N 44.3W 60 KT 70 MPH 12H 26/0600Z 49.4N 35.8W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 26/1800Z 54.4N 26.2W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 27/0600Z...ABSORBED $$ Forecaster Latto
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Summary for Hurricane Epsilon (AT2/AL272020)
2020-10-25 16:56:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...EPSILON RACING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SOON... ...HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS POSSIBLE ALONG ATLANTIC BEACHES THROUGH MONDAY... As of 11:00 AM AST Sun Oct 25 the center of Epsilon was located near 44.3, -49.4 with movement ENE at 35 mph. The minimum central pressure was 960 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.
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