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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Humberto (AT4/AL092019)

2019-09-20 04:48:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...HUMBERTO BECOMES AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 11:00 PM AST Thu Sep 19 the center of Humberto was located near 40.0, -58.0 with movement NNE at 20 mph. The minimum central pressure was 965 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 100 mph.

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Post-Tropical Cyclone Humberto Public Advisory Number 30

2019-09-20 04:48:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM AST Thu Sep 19 2019 000 WTNT34 KNHC 200248 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Humberto Advisory Number 30 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092019 1100 PM AST Thu Sep 19 2019 ...HUMBERTO BECOMES AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...40.0N 58.0W ABOUT 525 MI...845 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Humberto was located near latitude 40.0 North, longitude 58.0 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northeast near 20 mph (31 km/h). A slower north-northeastward motion is expected tonight and Friday. A turn toward the east-northeast is expected to commence by Friday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected during the next couple of days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 380 miles (610 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb (28.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Large swells and dangerous surf generated by Humberto will continue along the coast of Bermuda during the next day or two, and these could continue to cause coastal flooding. Swells will continue to affect the northwestern Bahamas and much of the coast of the United States from east-central Florida to the Mid-Atlantic States during the next couple of days. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office and the Bermuda Weather Service. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Pasch

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Post-Tropical Cyclone Humberto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 30

2019-09-20 04:48:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC FRI SEP 20 2019 000 FONT14 KNHC 200248 PWSAT4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HUMBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019 0300 UTC FRI SEP 20 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X 5( 5) 38(43) 4(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 2 42(44) 10(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ILE ST PIERRE 34 8 25(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) BURGEO NFLD 34 1 9(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) PTX BASQUES 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SYDNEY NS 34 6 5(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) SABLE ISLAND 34 74 1(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Post-Tropical Cyclone Humberto Forecast Advisory Number 30

2019-09-20 04:48:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC FRI SEP 20 2019 000 WTNT24 KNHC 200248 TCMAT4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019 0300 UTC FRI SEP 20 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 58.0W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 70SE 70SW 60NW. 50 KT.......150NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. 34 KT.......330NE 240SE 180SW 330NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 540SE 995SW 480NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 58.0W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.2N 58.4W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 41.8N 56.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. 50 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW. 34 KT...270NE 200SE 150SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 44.0N 54.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 45.5N 48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 60SE 80SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 200SE 180SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 46.5N 40.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 60SE 80SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 200SE 180SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.0N 58.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Post-Tropical Cyclone Gabrielle Graphics

2019-09-10 16:45:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 10 Sep 2019 14:45:23 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 10 Sep 2019 15:24:39 GMT

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