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Post-Tropical Cyclone MELISSA Graphics
2013-11-22 04:07:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 22 Nov 2013 02:35:10 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 22 Nov 2013 03:03:43 GMT
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melissa
cyclone
posttropical
Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone MELISSA (AT4/AL142013)
2013-11-22 03:32:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...MELISSA BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE... ...GALE-FORCE WINDS STILL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE AZORES... As of 11:00 PM AST Thu Nov 21 the center of MELISSA was located near 41.5, -29.0 with movement ENE at 28 mph. The minimum central pressure was 983 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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melissa
cyclone
posttropical
Post-Tropical Cyclone MELISSA Public Advisory Number 15
2013-11-22 03:32:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST THU NOV 21 2013 000 WTNT34 KNHC 220232 TCPAT4 BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MELISSA ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142013 1100 PM AST THU NOV 21 2013 ...MELISSA BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE... ...GALE-FORCE WINDS STILL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE AZORES... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...41.5N 29.0W ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM NNW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MELISSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 29.0 WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 28 MPH...44 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST EXPECTED BY SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM ON FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240 MILES...390 KM MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL AZORES TONIGHT. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEO FRANCE...UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT50 LFPW. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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melissa
Post-Tropical Cyclone MELISSA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15
2013-11-22 03:32:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI NOV 22 2013 000 FONT14 KNHC 220232 PWSAT4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MELISSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142013 0300 UTC FRI NOV 22 2013 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MELISSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 29.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X 2 7 13 NA NA NA TROP DEPRESSION 13 22 34 42 NA NA NA TROPICAL STORM 85 71 55 42 NA NA NA HURRICANE 2 5 4 3 NA NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 2 5 4 3 NA NA NA HUR CAT 2 X X X X NA NA NA HUR CAT 3 X X X X NA NA NA HUR CAT 4 X X X X NA NA NA HUR CAT 5 X X X X NA NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40KT 40KT 35KT 30KT NA NA NA II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SANTA CRUZ AZO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PONTA DELGADA 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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melissa
Post-Tropical Cyclone RAYMOND Forecast Information (.shp)
2013-10-30 15:54:44| Tropical Depression LIDIA
GIS Data last updated Wed, 30 Oct 2013 14:54:44 GMT
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raymond
forecast
shp
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