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Post-Tropical Cyclone ELIDA Public Advisory Number 8
2014-07-02 10:56:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT WED JUL 02 2014 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 020856 TCPEP5 BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ELIDA ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052014 200 AM PDT WED JUL 02 2014 ...ELIDA BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.9N 103.0W ABOUT 170 MI...270 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 135 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ELIDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.0 WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE REMNANT LOW IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Post-Tropical Cyclone ELIDA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2014-07-02 10:56:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED JUL 02 2014 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 020856 PWSEP5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ELIDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052014 0900 UTC WED JUL 02 2014 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ELIDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Post-Tropical Cyclone ELIDA Forecast Advisory Number 8
2014-07-02 10:55:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED JUL 02 2014 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 020855 TCMEP5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052014 0900 UTC WED JUL 02 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 103.0W AT 02/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 135 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 103.0W AT 02/0900Z AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 103.1W FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.7N 102.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 16.6N 102.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 16.6N 103.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 103.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Post-Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA Graphics
2014-06-15 23:08:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 15 Jun 2014 20:45:59 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 15 Jun 2014 21:03:47 GMT
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cristina
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Post-Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA Forecast Discussion Number 26
2014-06-15 22:41:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT SUN JUN 15 2014 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 152041 TCDEP3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTINA DISCUSSION NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032014 200 PM PDT SUN JUN 15 2014 Cristina has been devoid of deep convection since yesterday, and it only consists of a tight swirl of low-level clouds. Therefore, Cristina is now declared a remnant low, and this is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. The remnant low is moving west-northwestward at about 6 kt. The cyclone is expected to turn northwestward tonight toward a weakness in the subtropical ridge, and continue in that direction until it dissipates in 2 to 3 days. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI and WMO header FZPN01 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 15/2100Z 20.5N 113.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 16/0600Z 21.0N 114.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 16/1800Z 21.7N 115.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 17/0600Z 22.4N 116.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 17/1800Z 23.1N 116.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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