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Summary for Hurricane Kenneth (EP3/EP132017)

2017-08-21 16:32:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...KENNETH REMAINS A MAJOR HURRICANE... As of 8:00 AM PDT Mon Aug 21 the center of Kenneth was located near 17.9, -130.9 with movement WNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 957 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 125 mph.

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Hurricane Kenneth Public Advisory Number 13

2017-08-21 16:32:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 AM PDT Mon Aug 21 2017 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 211432 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Hurricane Kenneth Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132017 800 AM PDT Mon Aug 21 2017 ...KENNETH REMAINS A MAJOR HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.9N 130.9W ABOUT 1400 MI...2255 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB...28.26 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Kenneth was located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 130.9 West. Kenneth is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected later today, followed by a north-northwest motion by late Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Kenneth is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Steady weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 957 mb (28.26 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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Hurricane Kenneth Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13

2017-08-21 16:32:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 21 2017 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 211432 PWSEP3 HURRICANE KENNETH WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132017 1500 UTC MON AUG 21 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KENNETH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 130W 34 2 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 135W 34 1 18(19) 9(28) 1(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) 20N 135W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 25N 135W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 46(53) 22(75) X(75) X(75) 25N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 21(34) X(34) X(34) 25N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) X(10) 30N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) 2(18) 30N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 25N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 30N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Hurricane Kenneth Forecast Advisory Number 13

2017-08-21 16:31:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 21 2017 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 211431 TCMEP3 HURRICANE KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132017 1500 UTC MON AUG 21 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 130.9W AT 21/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 957 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 150SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 130.9W AT 21/1500Z AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 130.6W FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.9N 132.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 20.4N 133.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 22.2N 134.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 24.1N 134.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 27.4N 136.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 29.6N 136.8W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 31.0N 138.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 130.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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