je.st
news
Tag: hurricane kenneth
Summary for Hurricane Kenneth (EP3/EP132017)
2017-08-21 22:34:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...KENNETH WEAKENS A LITTLE BUT STILL A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE... As of 2:00 PM PDT Mon Aug 21 the center of Kenneth was located near 18.3, -131.6 with movement NW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 960 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 120 mph.
Tags: summary
kenneth
hurricane
hurricane kenneth
Hurricane Kenneth Public Advisory Number 14
2017-08-21 22:34:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Mon Aug 21 2017 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 212034 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Hurricane Kenneth Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132017 200 PM PDT Mon Aug 21 2017 ...KENNETH WEAKENS A LITTLE BUT STILL A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.3N 131.6W ABOUT 1435 MI...2310 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Kenneth was located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 131.6 West. Kenneth is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn to the north-northwest is expected on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher gusts. Kenneth is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Steady weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb (28.35 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: number
public
advisory
kenneth
Hurricane Kenneth Forecast Advisory Number 14
2017-08-21 22:34:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON AUG 21 2017 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 212034 TCMEP3 HURRICANE KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132017 2100 UTC MON AUG 21 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 131.6W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 150SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 131.6W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 131.2W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 19.4N 132.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 21.2N 133.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 23.0N 134.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 24.8N 135.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 27.8N 136.2W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 29.6N 137.2W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 31.0N 138.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 131.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Tags: number
advisory
kenneth
forecast
Hurricane Kenneth Graphics
2017-08-21 16:37:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 21 Aug 2017 14:37:41 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 21 Aug 2017 15:26:07 GMT
Tags: graphics
kenneth
hurricane
hurricane kenneth
Hurricane Kenneth Forecast Discussion Number 13
2017-08-21 16:32:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Mon Aug 21 2017 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 211432 TCDEP3 Hurricane Kenneth Discussion Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132017 800 AM PDT Mon Aug 21 2017 Kenneth continues to have an impressive structure in satellite images. The eye of the hurricane remains distinct, and the convective pattern is symmetric around the center. The cloud tops in the eyewall, however, are not quite as cold as they were overnight, which resulted in a decrease of the 1200 UTC Dvorak final-T numbers from TAFB and SAB. Based on an average of the final T- and CI-numbers from TAFB/SAB and ADT values from CIMSS at the University of Wisconsin, the initial wind speed is lowered a little, to 110 kt. Kenneth has likely reached its peak intensity as it will be crossing the 26 deg C isotherm later today. In addition, the hurricane will be moving into a progressively drier air mass. These unfavorable thermodynamics combined with a significant increase in southerly shear beginning in about 2 days should cause Kenneth to weaken at a steady or rapid pace. The system is forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone in about 3 days when the shear is expected to increase to near 30 kt while Kenneth is over SSTs below 23 deg C. These conditions should cause the associated convection to dissipate or be sheared away from the circulation. The NHC intensity forecast generally follows the IVCN and HCCA consensus models. The major hurricane is moving west-northwestward at 9 kt steered by a mid-level ridge to its northeast. The system is forecast to turn to the northwest later today, followed by a north-northwestward motion by late Tuesday as Kenneth moves into a pronounced weakness caused by a cut-off low near the California coast. The models are in fairly good agreement, and only minor changes were made to the previous NHC track forecast. This forecast lies close to the various consensus aids. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 21/1500Z 17.9N 130.9W 110 KT 125 MPH 12H 22/0000Z 18.9N 132.0W 105 KT 120 MPH 24H 22/1200Z 20.4N 133.1W 90 KT 105 MPH 36H 23/0000Z 22.2N 134.0W 70 KT 80 MPH 48H 23/1200Z 24.1N 134.9W 60 KT 70 MPH 72H 24/1200Z 27.4N 136.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 96H 25/1200Z 29.6N 136.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 120H 26/1200Z 31.0N 138.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: number
discussion
kenneth
forecast
Sites : [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] next »