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Summary for Tropical Storm Bret (AT2/AL022017)

2017-06-20 16:33:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...BRET FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... As of 11:00 AM AST Tue Jun 20 the center of Bret was located near 11.6, -64.4 with movement WNW at 21 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

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Tropical Storm Bret Public Advisory Number 8

2017-06-20 16:33:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM AST Tue Jun 20 2017 000 WTNT32 KNHC 201433 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Bret Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022017 1100 AM AST Tue Jun 20 2017 ...BRET FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.6N 64.4W ABOUT 315 MI...505 KM E OF CURACAO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Venezuela has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning from Pedernales to Cumana. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Venezuela Isla de Margarita A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Bonaire * Curacao * Aruba For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bret was located near latitude 11.6 North, longitude 64.4 West. Bret is moving toward the west-northwest near 21 mph (33 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through tomorrow. On the forecast track, the center of the tropical storm or its remnants will continue to move across the southeastern Caribbean Sea for the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening should begin today, and the system is expected to dissipate on Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) to the north of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring over portions of the warning area, but these conditions should subside later today. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by tonight and Wednesday. RAINFALL: Bret is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over the Windward Islands and the northeastern coast of Venezuela through today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Avila

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Tropical Storm Bret Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8

2017-06-20 16:33:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUN 20 2017 000 FONT12 KNHC 201433 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM BRET WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022017 1500 UTC TUE JUN 20 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BRET WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PT GALLINAS 34 X 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) CURACAO 34 1 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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