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Tropical Storm Bret Public Advisory Number 6A
2017-06-20 07:52:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 AM AST Tue Jun 20 2017 000 WTNT32 KNHC 200552 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Bret Intermediate Advisory Number 6A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022017 200 AM AST Tue Jun 20 2017 ...BRET STILL PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...10.3N 62.1W ABOUT 50 MI...75 KM w OF TRINIDAD ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM SSW OF GRENADA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Trinidad * Tobago * Grenada * Venezuela from Pedernales to Cumana including Isla de Margarita A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Bonaire * Curacao * Aruba A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bret was located near latitude 10.3 North, longitude 62.1 West. Bret is moving toward the west-northwest near 22 mph (35 km/h) and is expected to gradually reduce its forward speed over the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the tropical storm is expected to move away from Trinidad, move near or along the northeast coast of Venezuela this morning, and move into the extreme southeastern Caribbean Sea this afternoon and evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast today, and a weakening trend is expected to begin on Tuesday when Bret is forecast to become a tropical depression. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. Point Salines, Grenada, recently reported sustained winds of 39 mph (63 km/h) with a gust to 52 mph (83 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions may continue over portions of the warning area for the next few hours, but these conditions should subside later this morning. RAINFALL: Bret is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over the Windward Islands and the northeastern coast of Venezuela today and Tuesday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Tropical Storm BRET Graphics
2017-06-20 04:48:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 20 Jun 2017 02:48:06 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 20 Jun 2017 02:48:07 GMT
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Tropical Storm BRET Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2017-06-20 04:42:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUN 20 2017 000 FONT12 KNHC 200242 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM BRET WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022017 0300 UTC TUE JUN 20 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BRET WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PT GALLINAS 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) CURACAO 34 X 4( 4) 15(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) GRENADA 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PORT OF SPAIN 34 72 X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) JUANGRIEGO 34 25 3(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
Summary for Tropical Storm BRET (AT2/AL022017)
2017-06-20 04:41:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...BRET NEAR TRINIDAD... As of 11:00 PM AST Mon Jun 19 the center of BRET was located near 10.0, -61.3 with movement WNW at 23 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm BRET Public Advisory Number 6
2017-06-20 04:41:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Mon Jun 19 2017 000 WTNT32 KNHC 200241 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Bret Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022017 1100 PM AST Mon Jun 19 2017 ...BRET NEAR TRINIDAD... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...10.0N 61.3W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM S OF TRINIDAD ABOUT 150 MI...235 KM S OF GRENADA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Trinidad * Tobago * Grenada * Venezuela from Pedernales to Cumana including Isla de Margarita A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Bonaire * Curacao * Aruba A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bret was located near latitude 10.0 North, longitude 61.3 West. Bret is moving toward the west-northwest near 23 mph (37 km/h) and is expected to gradually reduce its forward speed over the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the tropical storm is expected to begin moving moving away from Trinidad overnight and move near or along the northeast coast of Venezuela on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 12 to 24 hours. A weakening trend is forecast to begin on Wednesday and Bret is expected to become a tropical depression by that time. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions have likely begun over portions of the warning area, along the northeastern coast of Venezuela, and these conditions will spread westward over the remainder of the warning area overnight and Tuesday. RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Bret is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over the Windward Islands and the eastern coast of Venezuela tonight and Tuesday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Roberts
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