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Summary for Tropical Storm ROSLYN (EP3/EP182016)
2016-09-27 10:33:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...ROSLYN WEAKENING WHILE MOVING NORTHEASTWARD... As of 2:00 AM PDT Tue Sep 27 the center of ROSLYN was located near 17.8, -117.7 with movement NE at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Tropical Storm ROSLYN Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2016-09-27 10:33:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 27 2016 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 270833 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM ROSLYN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182016 0900 UTC TUE SEP 27 2016 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ROSLYN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 115W 34 2 9(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BERG
Tropical Storm ROSLYN Forecast Advisory Number 8
2016-09-27 10:32:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 27 2016 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 270832 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM ROSLYN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182016 0900 UTC TUE SEP 27 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 117.7W AT 27/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 90SE 40SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 0SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 117.7W AT 27/0900Z AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 118.0W FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.7N 117.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...120NE 70SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 20.0N 116.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 21.3N 116.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 22.3N 117.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 23.5N 119.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 117.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Tropical Storm ROSLYN Graphics
2016-09-27 05:04:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 27 Sep 2016 02:35:36 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 27 Sep 2016 03:04:36 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm ROSLYN (EP3/EP182016)
2016-09-27 04:34:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...ROSLYN FORECAST TO WEAKEN... As of 8:00 PM PDT Mon Sep 26 the center of ROSLYN was located near 17.2, -118.4 with movement ENE at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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