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Post-Tropical Cyclone Fausto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7

2020-08-17 16:51:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 17 2020 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 171450 PWSEP1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FAUSTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112020 1500 UTC MON AUG 17 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FAUSTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 25N 130W 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Tropical Depression Fausto Graphics

2020-08-17 10:40:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 17 Aug 2020 08:40:17 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 17 Aug 2020 08:40:17 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Depression Fausto (EP1/EP112020)

2020-08-17 10:38:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...FAUSTO EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... As of 2:00 AM PDT Mon Aug 17 the center of Fausto was located near 23.1, -124.2 with movement WNW at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.

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Tropical Depression Fausto Public Advisory Number 6

2020-08-17 10:38:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 AM PDT Mon Aug 17 2020 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 170838 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fausto Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112020 200 AM PDT Mon Aug 17 2020 ...FAUSTO EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.1N 124.2W ABOUT 655 MI...1050 KM WSW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fausto was located near latitude 23.1 North, longitude 124.2 West. Fausto is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through midday today. A turn toward the west and west-southwest with a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected to begin this afternoon and continue through Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected, and Fausto is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low later today. The remnant low is expected to dissipate late Tuesday or early Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Berg

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