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Tropical Storm Henri Public Advisory Number 11
2021-08-18 16:35:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Wed Aug 18 2021 000 WTNT33 KNHC 181435 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Henri Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082021 1100 AM AST Wed Aug 18 2021 ...HENRI HOLDING STEADY IN STRENGTH OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.0N 66.6W ABOUT 190 MI...310 KM SW OF BERMUDA ABOUT 795 MI...1280 KM SSE OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Henri was located near latitude 30.0 North, longitude 66.6 West. Henri is moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue for another day or so. A turn to the north is expected on Friday with that motion continuing into the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of days, but Henri is expected to become a hurricane by the weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Henri should continue to affect Bermuda during the next day or so. Swells are expected to increase across much of the east coast of the U.S. and Atlantic Canada later this week and this weekend. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Tropical Storm Henri Forecast Advisory Number 11
2021-08-18 16:35:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED AUG 18 2021 000 WTNT23 KNHC 181435 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM HENRI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082021 1500 UTC WED AUG 18 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 66.6W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 70SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 66.6W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 66.1W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 29.9N 67.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 29.8N 69.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 30.1N 71.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 30.7N 72.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 90SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 32.1N 72.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 34.2N 71.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 110SE 80SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 38.0N 69.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 41.0N 67.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.0N 66.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Hurricane Linda Public Advisory Number 34
2021-08-18 16:32:19| Tropical Depression LIDIA
...LINDA MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY FOR NOW... Location: 18.2°N 131.8°W Max sustained: 105 mph Moving: W at 13 mph Min pressure: 975 mb Issued at 500 AM HST Wed Aug 18 2021
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Hurricane Linda Forecast Advisory Number 34
2021-08-18 16:31:51| Tropical Depression LIDIA
Issued at 1500 UTC WED AUG 18 2021
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Tropical Storm Grace Public Advisory Number 20A
2021-08-18 13:59:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 AM EDT Wed Aug 18 2021 000 WTNT32 KNHC 181159 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Grace Intermediate Advisory Number 20A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072021 800 AM EDT Wed Aug 18 2021 ...GRACE NEAR GRAND CAYMAN... ...HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG WINDS CONTINUING ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.1N 81.4W ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM SW OF GRAND CAYMAN ABOUT 405 MI...650 KM ESE OF TULUM MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico from Cancun to Punta Herrero, including Cozumel A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Cayman Islands A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Cayman Islands * Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico from north of Cancun to Campeche * Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico from south of Punta Herrero to Puerto Costa Maya A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Southern coast Cuban province of Pinar del Rio, as well as Isla de la Juventud A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm- force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. Interests elsewhere in the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico should monitor the progress of Grace. Additional watches or warnings may be required later this morning. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Grace was located by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 80.9 West. Grace is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h). A general westward to west-northwestward motion is expected for the next several days. On the forecast track, the center of Grace will continue to move near or the Cayman Islands later this morning. Grace is expected to make landfall in the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico early Thursday, and move into the southwest Gulf of Mexico early Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Grace is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane later today, with some additional strengthening possible prior to the center reaching the eastern Yucatan Peninsula. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. Wind gusts to hurricane force have been reported on Grand Cayman. The minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force Hurricane Hunter observations is 993 mb (29.32 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Grace can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?key_messages. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected, and hurricane conditions are possible, over the Cayman Islands through this morning. Tropical storm conditions are possible along the southern coast of Cuba within the watch area through today. Hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area in the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico late tonight, with tropical storm conditions beginning as early as this evening. RAINFALL: Grace is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts: Over Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, portions of the Yucatan Peninsula and Vera Cruz state....4 to 8 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 12 inches are expected through Friday night. This heavy rainfall could lead to flash and urban flooding, with mudslides possible in Jamaica. STORM SURGE: A storm surge could raise water levels as high as 1 to 3 ft above normal tide levels in portions of the Cayman Islands. A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 3 to 5 ft above normal tide levels along the immediate coast near and to the north of where the center makes landfall in the northeastern Yucatan Peninsula late tonight or early Thursday. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. SURF: Swells generated by Grace will spread westward from Jamaica to the Cayman Islands, the southern coast of Cuba, and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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