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Hurricane Larry Public Advisory Number 20
2021-09-05 16:44:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Sun Sep 05 2021 000 WTNT32 KNHC 051444 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Larry Advisory Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122021 1100 AM AST Sun Sep 05 2021 ...LARRY EXPECTED TO CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE WESTERN ATLANTIC SHORES LATER THIS WEEK... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.5N 49.7W ABOUT 880 MI...1415 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ABOUT 1285 MI...2070 KM SE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Larry was located near latitude 19.5 North, longitude 49.7 West. Larry is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A northwestward motion with a slight decrease in forward speed is expected during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Larry is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Little change in strength is forecast during the next few days, although fluctuations in intensity will be possible. Larry is expected to remain a major hurricane through the middle of this week. Larry is a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb (28.20 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Larry are expected to reach the Lesser Antilles today, and will spread westward to portions of the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and Bermuda on Monday and Tuesday. Significant swells will likely reach the east coast of the United States and Atlantic Canada by midweek. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Hurricane Larry Forecast Advisory Number 20
2021-09-05 16:44:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 05 2021 000 WTNT22 KNHC 051444 TCMAT2 HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122021 1500 UTC SUN SEP 05 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 49.7W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB EYE DIAMETER 40 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT.......140NE 150SE 70SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 240SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 49.7W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 49.3W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 20.5N 51.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.9N 52.7W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 50NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 23.0N 54.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 24.3N 55.4W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 25.7N 56.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 27.3N 58.1W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 120SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 31.1N 61.1W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 37.4N 60.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 49.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Hurricane Larry Public Advisory Number 19
2021-09-05 10:49:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Sun Sep 05 2021 000 WTNT32 KNHC 050849 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Larry Advisory Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122021 500 AM AST Sun Sep 05 2021 ...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED ALONG MANY WESTERN ATLANTIC SHORES LATER THIS WEEK DUE TO LARGE SWELLS FROM LARRY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.8N 49.0W ABOUT 925 MI...1485 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ABOUT 1350 MI...2175 KM SE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Larry was located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 49.0 West. Larry is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A northwestward motion with a slight decrease in forward speed is expected during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher gusts. Larry is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Little change in strength is forecast during the next few days, although fluctuations in intensity will be possible. Larry is expected to remain a major hurricane through the middle of this week. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 958 mb (28.29 inches). A drifting buoy near the center of Larry recently measured a pressure of 962.9 mb (28.43 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Larry are expected to reach the Lesser Antilles today, and will spread westward to portions of the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and Bermuda on Monday and Tuesday. Significant swells will likely reach the east coast of the United States and Atlantic Canada by midweek. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
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Hurricane Larry Forecast Advisory Number 19
2021-09-05 10:45:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 05 2021 000 WTNT22 KNHC 050845 TCMAT2 HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122021 0900 UTC SUN SEP 05 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 49.0W AT 05/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB EYE DIAMETER 40 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 70SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT.......140NE 130SE 70SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 270SE 270SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 49.0W AT 05/0900Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 48.5W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.9N 50.4W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 80SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 21.2N 52.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 50NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.4N 53.6W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 23.6N 55.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 25.0N 56.4W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 26.5N 57.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 120SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 30.4N 60.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 36.5N 61.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 49.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART
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Hurricane Larry Forecast Advisory Number 18
2021-09-05 04:32:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 05 2021 000 WTNT22 KNHC 050232 TCMAT2 HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122021 0300 UTC SUN SEP 05 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 48.0W AT 05/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB EYE DIAMETER 40 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 70SE 30SW 70NW. 34 KT.......140NE 130SE 70SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 240SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 48.0W AT 05/0300Z AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 47.5W FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.1N 49.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 80SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 20.5N 51.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.7N 53.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 23.0N 54.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 24.2N 56.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 110SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 25.8N 57.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 120SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 29.4N 60.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 35.1N 61.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 48.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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