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Hurricane Larry Forecast Advisory Number 26
2021-09-07 04:46:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE SEP 07 2021 000 WTNT22 KNHC 070246 TCMAT2 HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122021 0300 UTC TUE SEP 07 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LARRY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED FOR THE ISLAND TOMORROW. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 54.4W AT 07/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB EYE DIAMETER 45 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT.......160NE 150SE 100SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 270SE 330SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 54.4W AT 07/0300Z AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 54.2W FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 24.1N 55.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 110SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 25.6N 56.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 27.3N 58.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 29.2N 59.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 130SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 31.6N 61.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 130SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 34.6N 61.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 70NW. 34 KT...190NE 190SE 140SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 44.0N 55.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 55.5N 43.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 54.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN
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Hurricane Larry Forecast Advisory Number 25
2021-09-06 22:44:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON SEP 06 2021 000 WTNT22 KNHC 062044 TCMAT2 HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122021 2100 UTC MON SEP 06 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 53.9W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT.......160NE 150SE 100SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 300SE 300SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 53.9W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 53.6W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 23.4N 55.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 24.9N 56.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 26.5N 57.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 28.3N 59.1W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 30.4N 60.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 130SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 33.1N 61.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 130SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 41.2N 57.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 51.7N 46.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N 53.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO
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Hurricane Larry Public Advisory Number 24
2021-09-06 16:54:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Mon Sep 06 2021 000 WTNT32 KNHC 061454 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Larry Advisory Number 24 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122021 1100 AM AST Mon Sep 06 2021 ...POWERFUL LARRY EXPECTED TO CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS ALONG WESTERN ATLANTIC SHORES LATER THIS WEEK... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.1N 52.9W ABOUT 715 MI...1150 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ABOUT 1015 MI...1630 KM SE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Larry was located near latitude 22.1 North, longitude 52.9 West. Larry is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Wednesday, followed by a turn toward the north-northwest and north on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher gusts. Larry is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next couple of days. Thereafter, some gradual weakening is forecast. Larry is a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 956 mb (28.23 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Larry are affecting the Lesser Antilles and are expected to spread westward to portions of the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and Bermuda today through Tuesday. Significant swells should reach the east coast of the United States and Atlantic Canada by midweek and continue affecting these shores through the end of the week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Hurricane Larry Forecast Advisory Number 24
2021-09-06 16:54:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON SEP 06 2021 000 WTNT22 KNHC 061453 TCMAT2 HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122021 1500 UTC MON SEP 06 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 52.9W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB EYE DIAMETER 60 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 270SE 270SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 52.9W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 52.6W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 23.1N 54.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 24.5N 55.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 25.9N 56.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 55NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 27.5N 58.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 29.3N 59.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 130SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 31.6N 61.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 130SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 38.6N 60.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 49.0N 49.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 52.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Hurricane Larry Public Advisory Number 23
2021-09-06 10:47:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Mon Sep 06 2021 000 WTNT32 KNHC 060847 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Larry Advisory Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122021 500 AM AST Mon Sep 06 2021 ...LARGE LARRY STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE... ...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED ALONG WESTERN ATLANTIC SHORES LATER THIS WEEK... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.5N 52.4W ABOUT 730 MI...1175 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ABOUT 1065 MI...1715 KM SE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Larry was located near latitude 21.5 North, longitude 52.4 West. Larry is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion with a slight decrease in forward speed is expected over the next couple of days. A slightly faster northwestward motion is forecast by early Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher gusts. Larry is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next couple of days. Thereafter, some gradual weakening is forecast. Larry is a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 956 mb (28.23 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Larry are affecting the Lesser Antilles and are expected to spread westward to portions of the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and Bermuda today through Tuesday. Significant swells should reach the east coast of the United States and Atlantic Canada by midweek and continue affecting these shores through the end of the week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
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