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Hurricane Larry Forecast Advisory Number 23
2021-09-06 10:46:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON SEP 06 2021 000 WTNT22 KNHC 060846 TCMAT2 HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122021 0900 UTC MON SEP 06 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 52.4W AT 06/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB EYE DIAMETER 55 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 270SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 52.4W AT 06/0900Z AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 52.0W FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.6N 53.6W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 55NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 23.9N 54.9W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 65NE 55SE 40SW 60NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 25.3N 56.2W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 55NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 26.8N 57.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 28.5N 59.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 130SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 30.6N 60.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 130SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 36.7N 61.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 45.5N 52.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 52.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART
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Hurricane Larry Public Advisory Number 22
2021-09-06 04:47:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 05 2021 392 WTNT32 KNHC 060247 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Larry Advisory Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122021 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 05 2021 ...LARGE LARRY LUMBERING ACROSS THE OPEN ATLANTIC... ...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS ALONG WESTERN ATLANTIC SHORES EXPECTED LATER THIS WEEK... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.0N 51.4W ABOUT 785 MI...1265 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ABOUT 1135 MI...1825 KM SE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Larry was located near latitude 21.0 North, longitude 51.4 West. Larry is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue with a slight decrease in forward speed over the next several days. Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Larry is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or so, with very gradual weakening thereafter. Larry is a large and expanding hurricane. Hurricane-force winds now extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb (28.20 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Larry are reaching the Lesser Antilles and are expected to spread westward to portions of the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and Bermuda on Monday and Tuesday. Significant swells should reach the east coast of the United States and Atlantic Canada by midweek. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Papin
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Hurricane Larry Forecast Advisory Number 22
2021-09-06 04:45:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 06 2021 000 WTNT22 KNHC 060245 TCMAT2 HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122021 0300 UTC MON SEP 06 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 51.4W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 90SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 240SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 51.4W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 51.0W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.0N 52.6W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 55NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 23.2N 54.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 24.6N 55.4W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 26.0N 56.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 120SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 27.6N 58.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 130SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 29.4N 59.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 130SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 34.4N 61.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 42.9N 55.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 51.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN
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Hurricane Larry Public Advisory Number 21
2021-09-05 22:49:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Sun Sep 05 2021 000 WTNT32 KNHC 052049 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Larry Advisory Number 21 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122021 500 PM AST Sun Sep 05 2021 ...LARRY REMAINS A LARGE MAJOR HURRICANE... ...EXPECTED TO CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE WESTERN ATLANTIC SHORES LATER THIS WEEK... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.5N 50.6W ABOUT 830 MI...1335 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ABOUT 1195 MI...1925 KM SE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Larry was located near latitude 20.5 North, longitude 50.6 West. Larry is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A northwestward motion with a slight decrease in forward speed is expected during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Larry is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Little change in strength is forecast during the next few days, although fluctuations in intensity will be possible. However, Larry is expected to remain a major hurricane through the middle of this week. Larry is a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb (28.20 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Larry are reaching the Lesser Antilles and are expected to spread westward to portions of the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and Bermuda on Monday and Tuesday. Significant swells should reach the east coast of the United States and Atlantic Canada by midweek. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Latto
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Hurricane Larry Forecast Advisory Number 21
2021-09-05 22:47:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 05 2021 000 WTNT22 KNHC 052047 TCMAT2 HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122021 2100 UTC SUN SEP 05 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 50.6W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT.......140NE 150SE 70SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 240SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 50.6W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 50.2W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 21.6N 51.9W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.7N 53.4W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 50NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 23.9N 54.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 25.3N 56.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 26.8N 57.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 28.5N 59.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 130SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 32.8N 61.3W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 39.8N 58.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 50.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO
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