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Hurricane Larry Forecast Advisory Number 7
2021-09-02 10:42:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU SEP 02 2021 000 WTNT22 KNHC 020842 TCMAT2 HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122021 0900 UTC THU SEP 02 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 32.3W AT 02/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 32.3W AT 02/0900Z AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 31.5W FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 13.4N 34.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.0N 37.9W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.8N 40.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 15.8N 43.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 90SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 16.9N 46.1W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 90SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.3N 48.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 90SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 20.9N 52.1W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 23.8N 55.4W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 32.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Ida Public Advisory Number 29
2021-09-02 10:39:43| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
The NHC has issued its final advisory on this system. Public Advisories from the Weather Prediction Center will provide updates as long as the system remains a flood threat. Issued at 500 AM EDT Thu Sep 02 2021
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Tropical Storm Larry Public Advisory Number 6
2021-09-02 04:39:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Wed Sep 01 2021 000 WTNT32 KNHC 020238 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Larry Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122021 1100 PM AST Wed Sep 01 2021 ...LARRY'S STRENGTHENING PAUSES, BUT INTENSIFICATION LIKELY TO RESUME LATER TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.8N 30.9W ABOUT 455 MI...735 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Larry was located near latitude 12.8 North, longitude 30.9 West. Larry is moving toward the west near 21 mph (33 km/h), and this general motion should continue through Thursday night. A gradual turn toward the west-northwest and a decrease in forward speed are expected Friday and Friday night. A slightly slower west- northwestward motion is expected on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady to rapid strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Larry is expected to become a hurricane later tonight or early Thursday, and a major hurricane Friday or Friday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Tropical Storm Larry Forecast Advisory Number 6
2021-09-02 04:39:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU SEP 02 2021 000 WTNT22 KNHC 020238 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122021 0300 UTC THU SEP 02 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 30.9W AT 02/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 30.9W AT 02/0300Z AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 30.1W FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 13.0N 33.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 13.6N 36.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 14.2N 39.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 15.1N 42.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 90SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 16.2N 44.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 90SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 17.4N 47.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 90SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 20.1N 51.4W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 22.9N 55.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 30.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Ida Public Advisory Number 28
2021-09-02 04:36:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
The NHC has issued its final advisory on this system. Public Advisories from the Weather Prediction Center will provide updates as long as the system remains a flood threat. Issued at 1100 PM EDT Wed Sep 01 2021
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