je.st
news
Tag: tropical depression
Tropical Depression NINE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10
2015-09-18 22:32:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 18 2015 000 FONT14 KNHC 182032 PWSAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092015 2100 UTC FRI SEP 18 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
Tags: number
speed
wind
tropical
Tropical Depression NINE Forecast Advisory Number 10
2015-09-18 22:32:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 18 2015 000 WTNT24 KNHC 182031 TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092015 2100 UTC FRI SEP 18 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 47.3W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 47.3W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 47.0W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.4N 48.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 19.0N 50.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.6N 51.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.2N 53.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 47.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
Tags: number
advisory
tropical
depression
Tropical Depression TEN Graphics
2015-09-18 17:13:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 18 Sep 2015 14:33:31 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 18 Sep 2015 15:05:37 GMT
Tags: graphics
tropical
depression
tropical depression
Tropical Depression NINE Graphics
2015-09-18 17:09:43| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 18 Sep 2015 14:32:36 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 18 Sep 2015 15:04:49 GMT
Tags: graphics
tropical
depression
tropical depression
Tropical Depression NINE Forecast Discussion Number 9
2015-09-18 16:33:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST FRI SEP 18 2015 000 WTNT44 KNHC 181433 TCDAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092015 1100 AM AST FRI SEP 18 2015 After the burst of convection overnight, shear and dry air appear to be getting the best of the depression, with no deep convection remaining near the low-level center. If deep convection does not return, the depression could be declared a remnant low by tonight. Weakening is forecast as the depression and its remnant low gradually spin down and dissipate in 3 to 4 days. Visible imagery shows the low-level center has been moving toward the west-northwest with an initial motion estimate of 295/7. The initial position and motion have resulted in a leftward shift of the NHC track forecast this cycle of about a degree. The NHC forecast shows the shallow cyclone moving generally west-northwestward through dissipation as it is steered by the low-level ridge to the north. The official forecast continues to favor the weaker models, such as the GFS and the GEFS ensemble mean, on the left side of the guidance envelope. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 18/1500Z 17.7N 47.1W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 19/0000Z 18.2N 48.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 19/1200Z 18.9N 49.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 20/0000Z 19.6N 51.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 20/1200Z 20.4N 52.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 21/1200Z 21.5N 55.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: number
discussion
tropical
depression
Sites : [1188] [1189] [1190] [1191] [1192] [1193] [1194] [1195] [1196] [1197] [1198] [1199] [1200] [1201] [1202] [1203] [1204] [1205] [1206] [1207] next »