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Summary for Tropical Depression Twenty (AT5/AL202020)

2020-09-14 04:48:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN, POTENTIALLY BECOMING A POWERFUL HURRICANE OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC BY THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK... As of 11:00 PM AST Sun Sep 13 the center of Twenty was located near 13.0, -39.0 with movement WNW at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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Tropical Depression Twenty Public Advisory Number 6

2020-09-14 04:48:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 13 2020 000 WTNT35 KNHC 140248 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Twenty Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202020 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 13 2020 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN, POTENTIALLY BECOMING A POWERFUL HURRICANE OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC BY THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.0N 39.0W ABOUT 1025 MI...1645 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS ABOUT 1500 MI...2415 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twenty was located near latitude 13.0 North, longitude 39.0 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). A continued west-northwestward motion is expected for the next day or two followed by a turn toward the northwest by mid-week. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is anticipated and the system is forecast to become a hurricane in a couple of days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Large swells generated by Tropical Depression Twenty are expected to reach the Lesser Antilles and the northeastern coast of South America on Wednesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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Tropical Depression Twenty Forecast Advisory Number 6

2020-09-14 04:48:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 14 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 140248 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020 0300 UTC MON SEP 14 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 39.0W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 240SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 39.0W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 38.3W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 13.5N 41.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 13.9N 43.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 14.4N 45.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 50SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 15.0N 47.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 60SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.0N 48.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 70SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.2N 50.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 80SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 20.0N 52.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 23.0N 55.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 39.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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Tropical Depression Rene Graphics

2020-09-14 04:31:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 14 Sep 2020 02:31:56 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 14 Sep 2020 02:31:56 GMT

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Tropical Depression Rene Forecast Discussion Number 28

2020-09-14 04:30:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 13 2020 000 WTNT43 KNHC 140230 TCDAT3 Tropical Depression Rene Discussion Number 28 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 13 2020 Rene continues to produced puffs of deep convection that are continually being sheared away by nearly 30 kt of westerly shear. These brief convective bursts have not been sufficiently organized to warrant a Dvorak classification for about 12 hours, so if the convective organization does not increase soon, Rene could become a remnant low tonight. Continued shear and a very dry mid-level environment should result in Rene's remnants dissipating by 60 hours, if not sooner. Rene's forward speed has slowed since the last advisory, with a westward drift of 270/02 the current estimate. The shallow cyclone should accelerate west-southwestward or southwestward in the low-level flow by 24 hours and continue on that general motion until dissipation. The new NHC track forecast is adjusted south of the previous one toward the new multi-model consensus. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 14/0300Z 27.2N 47.9W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 14/1200Z 27.3N 48.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 15/0000Z 26.9N 49.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 15/1200Z 26.2N 50.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 16/0000Z 25.5N 51.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brennan

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