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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-14 01:10:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
680 ABNT20 KNHC 132310 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Thu Sep 13 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Florence, near the North Carolina coast, on Tropical Storm Helene, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean, on Tropical Storm Isaac, located in the eastern Caribbean Sea, and on Subtropical Storm Joyce, located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Azores. An Air Force reconnaissance plane investigating the disturbance in the western Gulf of Mexico found a broad and elongated area of low pressure with a few squalls. Upper-level winds are conducive for development, and a tropical depression could still form before the system moves inland along the western Gulf coast on Friday. Another Air Force reconnaissance plane will investigate the system on Friday if necessary. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected across portions of northeastern Mexico and Texas on Friday and Saturday. Interests there should monitor the progress of this system, and refer to products from their local weather office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form near Bermuda late this weekend or early next week. After that time, additional development, if any, is expected to be slow while the system moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
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atlantic
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-13 19:32:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
508 ABPZ20 KNHC 131732 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Sep 13 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure, located roughly a couple of hundred miles west-southwest of Cabo Corrientes, Mexico, is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Upper-level winds are not particularly conducive for further organization, so any development of this system should be slow to occur over the next few days while the disturbance drifts west-southwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop well south of the southwestern coast of Mexico over the weekend. Thereafter, environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form while the system moves generally westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph south of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-13 19:12:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
040 ABNT20 KNHC 131712 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Sep 13 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Florence, approaching the North Carolina coast, on newly downgraded Tropical Storm Helene, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean, on Tropical Storm Isaac, located near the Lesser Antilles, and on Subtropical Storm Joyce, located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Azores. A weak low pressure center has formed a couple of hundred miles east-southeast of Brownsville, Texas. In addition, showers and thunderstorms in association with this system have become more numerous today. While upper-level winds are generally conducive for development of a tropical depression, the system only has about a day before it reaches the western Gulf coast. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently en route to investigate the low. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected across portions of northeastern Mexico and Texas on Friday and Saturday. Interests there should monitor the progress of this system, and refer to products from their local weather office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop near Bermuda late this weekend or early next week. Some gradual development is possible after that time while the system drifts westward over the western Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Subtropical Storm Joyce are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Subtropical Storm Joyce are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. $$ Forecaster Landsea
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-13 13:46:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
262 ABNT20 KNHC 131146 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Sep 13 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Florence, located over the western Atlantic Ocean, on Hurricane Helene, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean, on Tropical Storm Isaac, located near the Lesser Antilles, and on Subtropical Storm Joyce, located a little less than a 1000 miles west-southwest of the Azores. A trough of low pressure located over the western Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. While upper-level winds are generally conducive for the development of a tropical depression, the system only has about a day before it reaches the western Gulf coast. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance later today, if necessary. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected across portions of northeastern Mexico, Texas, and Louisiana on Friday and Saturday. Interests there should monitor the progress of this system, and refer to products from their local weather office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop near Bermuda late this weekend or early next week. Some gradual development is possible after that time while the system drifts westward over the western Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Subtropical Storm Joyce are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Subtropical Storm Joyce are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. $$ Forecaster Landsea
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-13 13:42:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
152 ABPZ20 KNHC 131142 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Sep 13 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure, located about 150 miles west-southwest of Cabo Corrientes, Mexico, is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. This system has become less organized since yesterday, and any development of this system should be slow to occur over the next few days while the disturbance drifts west-southwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop well south of the southwestern coast of Mexico over the weekend. Thereafter, environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form while the system moves generally westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph south of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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