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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-19 01:46:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

113 ABNT20 KNHC 182346 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The NOAA Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Joyce, located several hundred miles south of the Azores. A large area of disturbed weather has developed in association with a tropical wave located about 1300 miles east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for some slow development of this system through Friday while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Over the weekend, however, upper-level winds are expected to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation to occur. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-18 19:42:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

653 ABPZ20 KNHC 181742 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1100 AM PDT Tue Sep 18 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad and elongated area of low pressure extending from near the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula southwestward for a few hundred miles continues to produce widespread but disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although environmental conditions appear conducive for greater organization, the large size of the system and interaction with land should inhibit the development potential of this disturbance. However, this system could still become a tropical depression during the next day or two while it moves near Baja California Sur and the Gulf of California. Regardless of development, this disturbance will likely produce very heavy rainfall over Baja California Sur and other parts of northwestern mainland Mexico over the next several days. The risk of mudlslides and flash flooding may increase as the system tracks northward into northwestern Mexico through Thursday. Interests in Baja California Sur and northwestern Mexico should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Another area of weak low pressure within an elongated trough is located about 800 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system over the next several days while it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Carbin/Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-18 19:33:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

364 ABNT20 KNHC 181732 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Joyce, located several hundred miles south of the Azores. The NOAA Weather Prediction Center has issued the final advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Florence, located just off the coast of New England. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-18 13:19:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

379 ABNT20 KNHC 181119 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Joyce, located a few hundred miles south of the Azores. The NOAA Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical Cyclone Florence, located over the southern New England. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-18 13:18:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

959 ABPZ20 KNHC 181118 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Sep 18 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad and elongated area of low pressure extending from near the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula southwestward for a few hundred miles continues to produce widespread but disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although environmental conditions appear conducive for tropical cyclone formation, the large size of the system and land interaction is expected to limit the development potential of this disturbance. However, this system could still become a tropical depression during the next day or two while it moves near Baja California Sur and the Gulf of California. Regardless of development, this disturbance will likely produce very heavy rainfall over Baja California Sur and other parts of northwestern mainland Mexico over the next several days. Interests in Baja California Sur and northwestern Mexico should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Another area of low pressure is located about 800 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive for some gradual development of this system over the next several days while it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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