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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-18 07:43:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

334 ABPZ20 KNHC 180543 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Sep 17 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad and elongated area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southeast through south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce widespread but disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although environmental conditions appear conducive for tropical cyclone formation, the large size of the system and possible land interaction should prevent any significant or rapid development from occurring during the next day or so. However, this system could become a tropical depression on Wednesday or Thursday as it approaches Baja California Sur and enters the Gulf of California. Regardless of development, this broad disturbance will likely produce very heavy rainfall over Baja California Sur and other parts of northwestern mainland Mexico later this week. Interests in Baja California Sur and northwestern Mexico should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-18 07:41:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

822 ABNT20 KNHC 180541 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Joyce, located a few hundred miles south of the Azores. The NOAA Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical Cyclone Florence, located inland over the central Appalachian mountains. Disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms extending from Jamaica and eastern Cuba westward for a few hundred miles across the northwestern Caribbean Sea are associated with the remnants of Isaac. Environmental conditions are expected to remain unfavorable for re-development while the system moves west-northwestward to westward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea. While development is not expected, brief periods of locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible over portions of Jamaica, as well as eastern and central Cuba, during the next day or two. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-18 01:53:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

566 ABPZ20 KNHC 172353 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Sep 17 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad and elongated area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southeast through south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce widespread but disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although environmental conditions appear conducive for tropical cyclone formation, the large size of the system and possible land interaction should prevent any significant or rapid development from occurring during the next day or so. However, this system could become a tropical depression on Wednesday or Thursday as it approaches Baja California Sur and enters the Gulf of California. Regardless of development, this broad disturbance will likely produce very heavy rainfall over Baja California Sur and other parts of northwestern mainland Mexico later this week. Interests in Baja California Sur and northwestern Mexico should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-18 01:42:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

125 ABNT20 KNHC 172342 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Joyce, located a few hundred miles south of the Azores. The NOAA Weather Prediction Center has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Florence, located inland over the central Appalachian mountains. Disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms extending from Jamaica and eastern Cuba westward for a few hundred miles across the northwestern Caribbean Sea are associated with the remnants of Isaac. Environmental conditions are expected to remain unfavorable for re-development while the system moves west-northwestward to westward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Even though development is unlikely, brief periods of locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible over portions of Jamaica, as well as eastern and central Cuba, during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-17 20:29:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

ABNT20 KNHC 171812 RRA TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Joyce, located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Azores. The NOAA Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Florence, located inland over the Appalachian mountains. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending from just west of Jamaica to eastern Cuba and Hispaniola are associated with the remnants of Isaac. Environmental conditions are expected to remain unfavorable for re-development while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Even though development is unlikely, locally heavy rains and gusty winds are possible over portions of Hispaniola, Jamaica, and eastern Cuba during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Latto

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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