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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-18 01:53:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 172353 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Aug 17 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave near the Windward Islands continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This disturbance is moving westward at about 20 mph, and is expected to continue to move quickly westward over the eastern and central Caribbean Sea during the next couple of days, which is likely to limit significant development. After that time, however, the system is forecast to move more slowly westward across the western Caribbean, where upper-level winds could become more conducive for the development of a tropical depression during the latter part of this week. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected over portions of the Windward and southern Leeward Islands through Tuesday morning. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Satellite images indicate that a broad area of low pressure located about 700 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has become better organized since yesterday, with increasing banding features near the center. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within a couple days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western portions of the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
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atlantic
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-18 01:46:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 172346 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Aug 17 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Genevieve, located several hundred miles southeast of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A small area of showers and thunderstorms over the far southwestern portion of the basin are associated with the remnant low of Tropical Depression Ten-E. Environmental conditions do not appear conducive for significant development, and regeneration of this system is not anticipated while it moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form later this week several hundred miles west of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Conditions appear favorable for some development of this system while it meanders over the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-17 19:33:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 171733 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Aug 17 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave approaching the Windward Islands is producing a large area of disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. This disturbance is moving westward at about 20 mph, and is expected to continue to move quickly westward over the eastern and central Caribbean Sea during the next couple of days, which is likely to limit significant development. After that time, however, the system is expected to move more slowly westward across the western Caribbean, where upper-level winds could become more conducive for the development of a tropical depression during the latter part of this week. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected over portions of the Windward and southern Leeward Islands through Tuesday morning. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A tropical wave over the eastern tropical Atlantic is forecast to interact with another disturbance located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands within the next day or two. This interaction is expected to lead to the formation of a broad area of low pressure, and conditions are forecast to be conducive for the development of a tropical depression during the middle-to-latter part of this week while the system moves westward to west- northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western portions of the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-17 19:24:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 171724 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Aug 17 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Tropical Depression Fausto, located about 1000 miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Advisories are being issued on Hurricane Genevieve, located about 250 miles south-southwest of of Zihuatanejo, Mexico. A small area of showers and thunderstorms over the far southwestern portion of the Eastern Pacific basin are associated with the remnant low of Tropical Depression Ten-E. Environmental conditions do not appear conducive for significant development and regeneration of this system is not expected while it moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form later this week several hundred miles west of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Conditions appear favorable for some development of this system while it meanders over the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-17 13:31:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 171131 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A fast-moving tropical wave located a couple of hundred miles east of the Windward Islands continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. This disturbance is expected to move westward at about 20 mph during the next few days, and that fast forward speed is likely to limit significant development while the system approaches the Windward and southern Leeward Islands today, and moves across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea on Tuesday and Wednesday. After that time, however, the system is expected to move more slowly westward across the western Caribbean Sea, where upper-level winds could become more conducive for the development of a tropical depression during the latter part of this week. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected over portions of the Windward and southern Leeward Islands beginning today through Tuesday morning. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Another tropical wave located over the eastern tropical Atlantic to the south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. The wave is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph during the next few days, and environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for the development of a tropical depression during the middle-to-latter part of this week while the system moves across the central and western portions of the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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