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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-21 19:42:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 211742 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Sep 21 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Peter, located more than 100 miles northeast of Puerto Rico, and on Tropical Storm Rose, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. A small but concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms is redeveloping along a tropical wave located a few hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by Thursday or Friday while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A gale-force, non-tropical low pressure system, the remnants of Odette, is located about 700 miles west-northwest of the westernmost Azores. This low could acquire some subtropical characteristics over marginally warm waters during the next few days while it executes a small cyclonic loop over the north-central Atlantic Ocean. However, by the end of the week, this system is expected to encounter more hostile environmental conditions. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Papin
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-21 19:35:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 211735 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Sep 21 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized shower activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to be somewhat conducive for development, and a short-lived tropical cyclone could form in 2 or 3 days while the low moves generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. This system is forecast to move over cooler waters and into a more stable environment by the weekend, which should inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-21 13:47:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 211147 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Sep 21 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Peter, located about 100 miles north-northwest of the northern Leeward Islands, and on Tropical Storm Rose, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Showers and thunderstorms are currently somewhat limited associated with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. However, environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by Thursday or Friday while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A storm-force, non-tropical low pressure system, the remnants of Odette, is located about 700 miles west-northwest of the westernmost Azores. This low could acquire some subtropical characteristics over marginally warm waters during the next few days while it executes a small cyclonic loop over the north-central Atlantic Ocean. However, by the end of the week, this system is expected to encounter more hostile environmental conditions. Additional information on this system, including storm warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Papin
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-21 13:37:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 211137 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Sep 21 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized shower activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to be somewhat conducive for development, and a short-lived tropical cyclone could form in 2 or 3 days while the system moves generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. By the weekend, however, the system is forecast to move over cooler waters and into a more stable environment, which should inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-21 07:15:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 210515 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Sep 20 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized shower activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to be somewhat conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form within the next few days while the system moves generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. By late Friday, however, the system is forecast to move over cooler waters and into a stable environment, which should inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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