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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-21 07:14:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 210514 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Tue Sep 21 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Peter, located about 100 miles north of the northern Leeward Islands, and on Tropical Storm Rose, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continue to show some signs of organization. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A storm-force, non-tropical low pressure system, the remnants of Odette, is located several hundred miles southeast of Newfoundland. This low could acquire some subtropical characteristics during the next few days while it moves slowly southeastward over warmer waters across the north-central Atlantic Ocean. However, the system is expected to turn northward back over cooler waters this weekend, which should end its chances of becoming a subtropical storm. Additional information on this system, including storm warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-21 01:29:43| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 202329 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Sep 20 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Peter, located about 150 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands, and on Tropical Storm Rose, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands continue to show some signs of organization, although recent satellite wind data indicate that the system lacks a surface circulation. Upper-level winds, however, are expected to become conducive for further development during the next day or two, and a tropical depression is likely to form by Thursday or Friday while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A storm-force, non-tropical low pressure system, the remnants of Odette, is located several hundred miles southeast of Newfoundland. This low could acquire some subtropical characteristics by the middle of this week as it moves slowly southeastward over warmer waters across the north-central Atlantic Ocean, before it moves northward over cooler waters over the weekend. Additional information on this system, including storm warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-21 01:17:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 202317 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Sep 20 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing some disorganized shower activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to be somewhat conducive for development during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form during the latter part of this week while the system moves generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. By late Friday, the system is forecast to move over cooler waters, which will likely inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-20 19:35:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 201735 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Sep 20 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Peter, located northeast of the northernmost Leeward Islands, and on Tropical Storm Rose, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands are still showing some signs of organization, although there does not appear to be a surface circulation at this time. Upper-level winds, however, are expected to become conducive for further development by midweek, and a tropical depression is likely to form by Thursday or Friday while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A storm-force, non-tropical low pressure system, the remnants of Odette, is located a few hundred miles southeast of Newfoundland. This low could acquire some subtropical characteristics by the middle of this week as it moves slowly southeastward over warmer waters across the north-central Atlantic Ocean before moving northward over cooler waters over the weekend. Additional information on this system, including storm warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-20 19:13:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 201712 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Sep 20 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula within the next couple of days. Thereafter, some gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form by the latter part of this week while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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