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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-27 01:12:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 262312 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Sep 26 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower activity is a little better organized than earlier today in association with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Although upper level winds are expected to become less conducive for development later tonight, a tropical depression could still form by Friday night before it becomes absorbed by a larger weather disturbance near the coast of Mexico over the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. An elongated trough of low pressure near the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. A low is expected to form along this trough during the next couple of days, and it is likely to become a tropical depression over the weekend or early next week while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph near the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall, with the possibility of flash flooding and mudslides, is likely along the Pacific coasts of Central America and southern and southwestern Mexico during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A low pressure area is expected to form over the weekend in the far southwestern part of the east Pacific basin. Some subsequent slow development is possible into early next week as the low moves slowly eastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-26 19:42:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 261741 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Karen, located several hundred miles south-southeast of Bermuda, and on Hurricane Lorenzo, located over the central tropical Atlantic. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Berg
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atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-26 19:41:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 261741 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Sep 26 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become a little better organized since yesterday. Some additional development of this system is possible while it moves eastward and then southeastward during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression could still form before it becomes absorbed by a larger weather disturbance near the coast of Mexico over the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. An elongated trough of low pressure developing near the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico is producing several clusters of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. A low is expected to form along this trough during the next couple of days, and it is likely to become a tropical depression over the weekend or early next week while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph near the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall, with the possibility of flash flooding and mudslides, is likely along the Pacific coasts of Central America and southern and southwestern Mexico during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A low pressure area is expected to form over the weekend in the far southwestern part of the east Pacific basin. Some subsequent slow development is possible into early next week as the low moves slowly eastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-26 13:34:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 261134 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Karen, located several hundred miles south of Bermuda, and on Hurricane Lorenzo, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-26 13:33:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 261133 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Sep 26 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized shower activity. Some development of this system is possible while it moves eastward and then southeastward during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression could still form before it becomes absorbed by a larger weather disturbance near the coast of Mexico over the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. An elongated trough of low pressure is developing near the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico and is producing several clusters of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. A low is expected to form along this trough during the next couple of days, and it is likely to become a tropical depression over the weekend or early next week while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph near the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall, with the possibility of flash flooding and mudslides, is likely along the Pacific coasts of Central America and southern and southwestern Mexico during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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