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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-22 19:21:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 221721 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Sep 22 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Jerry, located several hundred miles south-southwest of Bermuda, and on Tropical Storm Karen, located just west of the southern Windward Islands. Satellite imagery indicates that a broad area of low pressure has formed in association with a strong tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic. The associated thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form later today or tonight while the system moves generally westward over the eastern tropical Atlantic at 15 to 20 mph. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this disturbance. Regardless of development, this system is likely to bring locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds to portions of the southern Cabo Verde Islands during the next day or two. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Karen are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Karen are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. $$ Forecaster Brown
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atlantic
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-22 19:13:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 221713 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Sep 22 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Mario, located a few hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Kiko, located over the far southwestern part of the basin. The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Tropical Depression Lorena which degenerated into a broad area of low pressure over northwestern Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected for the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Avila
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weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-22 13:15:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 221115 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Jerry, located several hundred miles south of Bermuda. The National Hurricane Center is also issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Storm Karen located near the southern Windward Islands. Satellite images show that the thunderstorm activity associated with a strong tropical wave that has moved off the west coast of Africa this morning is quickly becoming better organized. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form later today or tonight while the system moves generally westward over the eastern tropical Atlantic at 15 to 20 mph. Interests in the Cabo Verde Island should monitor the progress of this disturbance. Regardless of development, this system is likely to bring locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds to portions of the southern Cabo Verde Islands. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Karen are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Karen are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-22 13:02:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 221102 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Sep 22 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Lorena, located over the central Gulf of California, on Tropical Depression Mario, located a few hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Kiko, located over the far southwestern part of the basin. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected for the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-22 07:43:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 220542 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Jerry, located several hundred miles south of Bermuda. Satellite, radar and surface data indicate that the area of low pressure located just north of Tobago in the Windward Islands is becoming better organized and is producing winds to near tropical storm force in the eastern portion of the system. Further development of this disturbance is expected over the next couple of days, and a tropical depression or tropical storm will likely form while it moves west-northwestward and then northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the Windward Islands and over the eastern Caribbean Sea. The system is then expected to turn northward, moving near Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands on Tuesday. Heavy rainfall and strong gusty winds are likely over much of the Leeward and Windward Islands during the next couple of days and will spread across Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands by Monday night or Tuesday. Interests across the eastern Caribbean should monitor the progress of this low, and tropical storm watches and warnings will likely be required for portions of the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico later today. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter is scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A strong tropical wave along the west coast of Africa is already producing thunderstorm activity that is showing some signs of organization. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form on Monday or Tuesday while it moves westward to west- northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic at 15 to 20 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. && Further information on the system near the Windward Islands can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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