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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-25 07:39:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 250539 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Jerry, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of Bermuda, on Tropical Storm Karen, located about 100 miles north-northeast of Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands, and on Tropical Storm Lorenzo, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic. A low pressure system located just offshore of the northwestern coast of the Yucatan peninsula is producing limited shower activity. Little or no development is expected through Thursday while the system moves westward at 5 to 10 mph across the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. By Friday, however, some development of the disturbance is possible before it moves inland over northeastern Mexico on Saturday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-25 01:11:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 242311 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Jerry, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of Bermuda, on Tropical Storm Karen, located near Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands, and on Tropical Storm Lorenzo, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic. A weak area of low pressure centered near the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula is producing a small area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of the low is possible while it moves westward at 5 to 10 mph across the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the next few days. The disturbance is expected to move inland over northeastern Mexico late Friday or Saturday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-25 01:08:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 242308 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Sep 24 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Tropical Storm Kiko, which has moved into the central Pacific basin. The next advisory will be issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center at 5 PM HST. A weak area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico is producing limited showers and thunderstorms. Significant development of this system is not expected while it moves northward at 5 to 10 mph through Wednesday and then becomes absorbed within a larger trough on Thursday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A broad area of low pressure has formed several hundred miles south-southwest of southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some development of this system is possible later this week while it moves slowly northward or northeastward. This system is likely to be absorbed over the weekend by a larger system that is expected to develop near the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. An elongated surface trough is expected to form within a couple of hundred miles of the southern coast of Mexico during the next several days. An area of low pressure is likely to form along this trough, and it could become a tropical depression over the weekend while moving slowly west-northwestward near the southern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && Future information on this system can be found in Public Advisories issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center under AWIPS header HFOTCPCP4, WMO header WTPA34 PHFO. Products will continue to be available on the web at hurricanes.gov $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-24 19:49:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 241749 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Sep 24 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kiko, which will move into the central Pacific basin this afternoon. A weak area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Significant development of this system is not expected while it moves northward at 5 to 10 mph through Wednesday and then becomes absorbed within a larger trough on Thursday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An elongated surface trough is expected to form within a couple of hundred miles of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next several days. An area of low pressure is likely to form along this trough, and it could become a tropical depression over the weekend while moving slowly west-northwestward near the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Another area of low pressure could form several hundred miles south-southwest of southern tip of the Baja California peninsula in a day or two. Some development is possible later this week while the system moves slowly northward or northeastward. This system is likely to be absorbed over the weekend by the larger system that is expected to develop near the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-24 19:38:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

777 ABNT20 KNHC 241738 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Jerry, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of Bermuda, on Tropical Storm Karen, located just south of Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands, and on Tropical Storm Lorenzo, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic. A weak area of low pressure centered near the north coast of the Yucatan peninsula is producing a small area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of the low is possible while it moves slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph across the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the next few days. The disturbance is expected to move inland over northeastern Mexico late Friday or Saturday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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