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Hurricane Larry Public Advisory Number 43
2021-09-11 10:30:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Sat Sep 11 2021 000 WTNT32 KNHC 110830 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Larry Advisory Number 43 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122021 500 AM AST Sat Sep 11 2021 ...LARRY RACING AWAY FROM NEWFOUNDLAND... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SOON... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...50.7N 51.7W ABOUT 285 MI...455 KM NNE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND ABOUT 1420 MI...2285 KM WSW OF REYKJAVIK ICELAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 48 MPH...78 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: All warnings for Newfoundland have been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Larry was located near latitude 50.7 North, longitude 51.7 West. Larry is moving toward the north-northeast near 48 mph (78 km/h), and this motion is forecast to continue today. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Larry is forecast to transition into a post-tropical cyclone later today, and merge with a larger non-tropical low by tonight. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 966 mb (28.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Larry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?key_messages STORM SURGE: Water levels will gradually subside in southeastern Newfoundland today. SURF: Significant swells from Larry will continue affecting Bermuda, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada through tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Hurricane Larry Public Advisory Number 42A
2021-09-11 07:41:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 AM AST Sat Sep 11 2021 000 WTNT32 KNHC 110541 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Larry Intermediate Advisory Number 42A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122021 200 AM AST Sat Sep 11 2021 ...LARRY LASHING NEWFOUNDLAND WITH STRONG WINDS AND A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...48.7N 53.2W ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM NNW OF ST JOHNS NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 47 MPH...76 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning from Francois to west of Arnold's Cove has been discontinued by the Canadian Hurricane Centre. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Southeastern Newfoundland from Arnold's Cove to Jones Harbour A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Southeastern Newfoundland from north of Jones Harbor to Fogo Island A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Larry was located near latitude 48.7 North, longitude 53.2 West. Larry is moving toward the north-northeast near 47 mph (76 km/h). A very rapid motion toward the north-northeast or northeast is expected through today and tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Larry will be moving quickly away from Newfoundland during the next several hours. Maximum sustained winds remain near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast today, and Larry is expected to become a strong extratropical low later this morning before it merges with another low over the Labrador Sea on Sunday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 255 miles (405 km). St. John's International Airport, Newfoundland, recently reported sustained winds of 60 mph (96 km/h) and a wind gust of 90 mph (144 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 963 mb (28.44 inches) based on surface observations from Newfoundland. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Larry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?key_messages WIND: Hurricane and tropical storm conditions are expected to continue in the warned areas during the next few hours. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding within the warning areas in southeastern Newfoundland. SURF: Significant swells from Larry will continue affecting Bermuda, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada through tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Hurricane Larry Public Advisory Number 42
2021-09-11 04:48:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Fri Sep 10 2021 452 WTNT32 KNHC 110248 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Larry Advisory Number 42 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122021 1100 PM AST Fri Sep 10 2021 ...CENTER OF LARRY TO MOVE OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS... ...EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS, A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, AND HEAVY RAINFALL TO THAT AREA TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...46.8N 54.9W ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM W OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 47 MPH...76 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Southeastern Newfoundland from Arnold's Cove to Jones Harbour A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Southeastern Newfoundland from Francois to west of Arnold's Cove * Southeastern Newfoundland from north of Jones Harbor to Fogo Island A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 hours. Interests elsewhere in southeastern Newfoundland should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Larry was located near latitude 46.8 North, longitude 54.9 West. Larry is moving toward the north-northeast near 47 mph (76 km/h). A very rapid motion toward the north-northeast or northeast is expected through Saturday night. On the forecast track, the center of Larry will be moving across southeastern Newfoundland during the next few hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast before landfall in Newfoundland. After landfall, Larry is expected to become a strong extratropical low by Saturday morning before it merges with another low over the Labrador Sea on Sunday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 255 miles (405 km). A station at Cape St. Mary's, Newfoundland, relayed by amateur radio, recently reported sustained winds of 84 mph (135 km/h) and a wind gust of 97 mph (156 km/h) at an unknown elevation. The estimated minimum central pressure is 958 mb (28.29 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Larry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?key_messages WIND: Hurricane conditions are now spreading across the hurricane warning area in southeastern Newfoundland, and tropical storm conditions are also spreading across other portions of the hurricane warning area. Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in the tropical storm warning area in southeastern Newfoundland during the next few hours. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding within the warning areas in southeastern Newfoundland. SURF: Significant swells from Larry will continue affecting Bermuda, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada through Saturday night. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. RAINFALL: Heavy rains from Larry will move quickly across eastern Newfoundland tonight, producing 1 to 2 inches of rain. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Depression Olaf Public Advisory Number 14
2021-09-11 04:39:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 PM MDT Fri Sep 10 2021 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 110239 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Olaf Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP152021 900 PM MDT Fri Sep 10 2021 ...OLAF WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED... SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.7N 113.3W ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM W OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Mexico has discontinued all Tropical Storm Warnings for Baja California Sur Mexico. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Olaf was located near latitude 24.7 North, longitude 113.3 West. The depression is now moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn toward the southwest is expected by Saturday night, with this motion continuing into early next week. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected during the next couple of days, and Olaf is forecast to degenerate to a post-tropical remnant low tomorrow morning. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Olaf will affect portions of the coasts of Nayarit and Sinaloa through this evening, and portions of the west coast of Baja California Sur through tomorrow. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Papin
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Tropical Storm Olaf Public Advisory Number 13A
2021-09-11 01:52:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 600 PM MDT Fri Sep 10 2021 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 102352 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Olaf Intermediate Advisory Number 13A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP152021 600 PM MDT Fri Sep 10 2021 ...OLAF CONTINUES WEAKENING AS IT PULLS AWAY FROM BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW TOMORROW... SUMMARY OF 600 PM MDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.7N 113.0W ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM WSW OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.61 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Baja California Sur Mexico from Puerto San Andresito southward to Santa Fe A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected or occurring somewhere within the tropical storm warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 600 PM MDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Olaf was located near latitude 24.7 North, longitude 113.0 West. Olaf is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn toward the west is expected tonight and Saturday, followed by a southwestward motion beginning on Saturday night and continuing into early next week. On the forecast track, the center of Olaf will continue moving away from the southwestern coast of Baja California Sur tonight. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected during the next couple of days, and Olaf is forecast to degenerate to a post-tropical remnant low tomorrow. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.61 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Olaf can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring within portions of the tropical storm warning area, but are expected to subside during the next several hours. RAINFALL: Olaf is expected to produce an additional 2 to 4 inches of rain with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches across portions of southern Baja California Sur through tonight. This rainfall may trigger life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. STORM SURGE: Storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding in regions of onshore winds within the warning area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large waves. SURF: Swells generated by Olaf will affect portions of the coasts of Nayarit and Sinaloa through this evening, and portions of the west coast of Baja California Sur through Saturday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Papin
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