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Remnants of Priscilla Public Advisory Number 4
2019-10-21 04:34:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 210234 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Remnants Of Priscilla Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192019 1000 PM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019 ...PRISCILLA DISSIPATES OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO CONTINUE... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.0N 104.7W ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM ESE OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the remnants of Priscilla were located near latitude 20.0 North, longitude 104.7 West. The remnants are moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The remnants of Priscilla are expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches, with local amounts to 15 inches, across portions of Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, and Michoacan in southwestern Mexico through Tuesday night. This rainfall could produce flash flooding and mudslides within steep terrain. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Priscilla. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Tropical Depression Priscilla Public Advisory Number 3
2019-10-20 22:37:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 400 PM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 202037 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Priscilla Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192019 400 PM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019 ...PRISCILLA MAKES LANDFALL EAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO AND WEAKENS... ...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.1N 104.0W ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM ENE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for southwestern Mexico. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of recently downgraded Tropical Depression Priscilla was located near latitude 19.1 North, longitude 104.0 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion is forecast to continue through tonight until Priscilla dissipates inland over southwestern Mexico. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid weakening is expected now that Priscilla is inland over southwestern Mexico, and the small cyclone is expected to dissipate later tonight or early Monday morning. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Priscilla and its remnants are expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches, with local amounts to 15 inches, across portions of Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, and Michoacan in southwestern Mexico through Tuesday night. This rainfall could produce flash flooding and mudslides within steep terrain. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Storm Priscilla Public Advisory Number 2A
2019-10-20 19:45:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 100 PM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 201745 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Priscilla Intermediate Advisory Number 2A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192019 100 PM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019 ...PRISCILLA JUST OFFSHORE THE COAST OF MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.6N 104.0W ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM SSW OF TECOMAN MEXICO ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Priscilla was located near latitude 18.6 North, longitude 104.0 West. Priscilla is moving toward the north near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Priscilla will make landfall this afternoon and move inland this evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected before Priscilla moves inland. Rapid weakening and dissipation are expected after landfall. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Priscilla is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches, with local amounts to 15 inches, across portions of Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, and Michoacan in southwestern Mexico through Tuesday night. This rainfall could produce flash flooding and mudslides within steep terrain. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area later today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Storm Priscilla Public Advisory Number 2
2019-10-20 16:40:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 201439 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Priscilla Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192019 1000 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019 ...PRISCILLA MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.1N 104.0W ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Priscilla was located near latitude 18.1 North, longitude 104.0 West. Priscilla is moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Priscilla will approach the southwestern coast of Mexico within the warning area later today, and move inland by tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected before Priscilla moves inland. Rapid weakening and dissipation are expected after landfall. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Priscilla is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches, with local amounts to 15 inches, across portions of Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, and Michoacan in southwestern Mexico through Tuesday night. This rainfall could produce flash flooding and mudslides within steep terrain. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area later today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Storm Priscilla Public Advisory Number 1A
2019-10-20 13:45:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 700 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 201145 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Priscilla Intermediate Advisory Number 1A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192019 700 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019 ...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM PRISCILLA... ...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.8N 104.0W ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Priscilla was located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 104.0 West. Priscilla is is moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Priscilla will approach the southwestern coast of Mexico within the warning area later today, and move inland by tonight. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional slight strengthening is possible before Priscilla moves inland. Rapid weakening and dissipation is expected after landfall. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Priscilla is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches, with local amounts to 15 inches, across portions of Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, and Michoacan in southwestern Mexico through Tuesday night. This rainfall could produce flash flooding and mudslides within steep terrain. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within a portion of the warning area later today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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