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Tropical Depression Twenty Forecast Advisory Number 3
2020-09-13 10:52:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020 791 WTNT25 KNHC 130851 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020 0900 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 35.5W AT 13/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 35.5W AT 13/0900Z AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 35.1W FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 12.6N 36.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 13.2N 39.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 13.7N 41.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 40SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 14.4N 43.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 15.3N 45.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 50SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.3N 46.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 70SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 19.0N 49.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 21.5N 51.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 35.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-13 07:55:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 130554 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Sep 13 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Hurricane Paulette and Tropical Depression Rene, both located over the central Atlantic Ocean, on Tropical Storm Sally, centered over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, and on Tropical Depression Twenty, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic. A surface trough over the west-central Gulf of Mexico is producing limited shower activity. While some slow development of this system is possible, strong upper-level winds associated with Tropical Storm Sally will probably limit the chances of tropical cyclone formation through Monday. The disturbance is forecast to move southwestward and then southward over the west-central and southwestern Gulf of Mexico through the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Showers and thunderstorms located near and west of the Cabo Verde Islands are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions support some additional development, and a tropical depression could form over the far eastern tropical Atlantic during the next couple of days while the system moves slowly west-northwestward. By mid-week, however, upper-level winds should become less conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa around mid-week. Some gradual development of the system will be possible thereafter as the disturbance moves slowly westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twenty are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Twenty are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Summary for Tropical Storm Sally (AT4/AL192020)
2020-09-13 07:43:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...SALLY COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, HURRICANE- FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST STARTING ON MONDAY... As of 2:00 AM EDT Sun Sep 13 the center of Sally was located near 26.7, -83.4 with movement WNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-13 07:41:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 130541 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Sep 12 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly developed Tropical Depression Sixteen-E, located about 470 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Sixteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Sixteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: north
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Tropical Storm Sally Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
2020-09-13 06:06:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Sun, 13 Sep 2020 04:06:14 GMT
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