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Tropical Depression Ten Graphics
2020-08-01 00:36:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 31 Jul 2020 22:36:48 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 31 Jul 2020 22:36:48 GMT
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Tropical Depression Ten Graphics
2020-07-31 23:03:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 31 Jul 2020 21:03:34 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 31 Jul 2020 21:03:34 GMT
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Tropical Depression Ten Forecast Discussion Number 1
2020-07-31 22:48:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 PM CVT Fri Jul 31 2020 000 WTNT45 KNHC 312048 TCDAT5 Tropical Depression Ten Discussion Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102020 800 PM CVT Fri Jul 31 2020 Deep convection has recently developed closer to the center of a small area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles east of the Cabo Verde Islands. Earlier ASCAT data indicated peak winds of around 25 kt, but given the small size of the system and the likely undersampling of the instrument, the initial intensity is set at 30 kt. This is in line with a Dvorak classification of T2.0 from SAB. With the recent increase in convective organization, there is a potential for the depression to become a short-lived tropical storm tonight. After that time, the environment is forecast to become increasingly hostile as cooler waters and less favorable thermodynamic conditions lie ahead. As a result, weakening should begin on Saturday and the system is forecast to become a remnant low Saturday night and dissipate shortly thereafter. The system is moving slightly west of due north, or 355/8 kt. The depression is forecast to turn northwestward tonight, then west-northwestward to westward on Saturday and Saturday night as it moves around the eastern side of a large cyclonic gyre over the far eastern Atlantic. The track guidance is in relatively good agreement, and the NHC forecast is near the TVCA multi-model consensus. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 31/2100Z 15.9N 20.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 01/0600Z 17.3N 21.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 01/1800Z 18.5N 23.2W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 02/0600Z 18.8N 25.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brown
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Summary for Tropical Depression Ten (AT5/AL102020)
2020-07-31 22:47:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO BE SHORT-LIVED... As of 8:00 PM CVT Fri Jul 31 the center of Ten was located near 15.9, -20.0 with movement N at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Ten Public Advisory Number 1
2020-07-31 22:47:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 PM CVT Fri Jul 31 2020 000 WTNT35 KNHC 312047 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Ten Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102020 800 PM CVT Fri Jul 31 2020 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO BE SHORT-LIVED... SUMMARY OF 800 PM CVT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.9N 20.0W ABOUT 265 MI...430 KM E OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM CVT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ten was located near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 20.0 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected tonight, followed by a turn to the west-northwest and west on Saturday and Saturday night. On the forecast track, the center of the depression is expected to pass north of the northernmost Cabo Verde Islands tonight and Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The system could become a short-lived tropical storm later tonight. However, weakening is forecast to begin on Saturday and the system is expected to become a remnant low Saturday night. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM CVT. $$ Forecaster Brown
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