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Tropical Depression Ten Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2020-07-31 22:47:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUL 31 2020 000 FONT15 KNHC 312047 PWSAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102020 2100 UTC FRI JUL 31 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 20.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Tropical Depression Ten Forecast Advisory Number 1
2020-07-31 22:47:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUL 31 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 312047 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102020 2100 UTC FRI JUL 31 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 20.0W AT 31/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 20.0W AT 31/2100Z AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 19.7W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.3N 21.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.5N 23.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.8N 25.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 20.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-07-31 21:04:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 311903 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 305 PM EDT Fri Jul 31 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special outlook issued to update discussion of the low pressure area over the far eastern Atlantic. The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Isaias, located near the southeastern Bahamas. Updated: Showers and thunderstorms have recently developed closer to the center of the small area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles east of the Cabo Verde Islands. Although the system is moving northward toward less favorable environmental conditions, only a small increase in organization could lead to the development of a short-lived tropical depression later today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A westward-moving tropical wave located about 950 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible while it turns northwestward over the western Atlantic by early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
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tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-07-31 19:28:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
179 ABNT20 KNHC 311728 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Fri Jul 31 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Isaias, located near the southeastern Bahamas. Showers and thunderstorms remain separated from the center of a small area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles east of the Cabo Verde Islands. The system is moving northward toward less favorable environmental conditions, and significant development of this system appears unlikely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A westward-moving tropical wave located about 950 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible while it turns northwestward over the western Atlantic by early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
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atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-07-31 19:06:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 311705 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Jul 31 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Brown
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