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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-06 07:16:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 060516 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Sep 5 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite-derived wind data indicate that a low pressure system located a couple of hundred miles south-southeast of Manzanillo, Mexico is still somewhat elongated, and the system is only producing limited shower activity at this time. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is likely to form while it moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, just offshore the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Another area of low pressure is forecast to form during the next couple of days well to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some slow development of this system is possible thereafter while it meanders over the open eastern Pacific Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Tags: north
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pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-06 07:11:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 060511 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Sep 6 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Larry, located over the central Atlantic about 800 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northern portion of the Yucatan Peninsula and south-central Gulf of Mexico are associated with a surface trough and an upper-level disturbance. The system is forecast to move slowly northward or northeastward over the central and then northeastern Gulf of Mexico, likely reaching the northern Gulf coast in a few days. Although upper-level winds are currently unfavorable for development to occur, they are expected to become marginally conducive for tropical cyclone formation in a couple of days. The disturbance is then expected to cross the southeastern United States beginning midweek, and some development will be possible once it emerges over the Atlantic waters late this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-06 01:33:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 052333 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Sep 5 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low pressure system located more than 200 miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, is gradually becoming better defined. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, just offshore the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Another area of low pressure is forecast to form in a few days well to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some slow development is possible thereafter while the system meanders over the open eastern Pacific Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-06 01:32:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 052332 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun Sep 5 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Larry, located over the central tropical Atlantic about 900 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the Yucatan Peninsula and surrounding waters are associated with a surface trough and an upper-level disturbance located over the eastern Bay of Campeche. Locally heavy rains are likely to continue through tonight over that area. The system is forecast to move slowly northward or northeastward over the central and then northeastern Gulf of Mexico over the next few days. Although upper-level winds are currently unfavorable for development to occur, they are expected to become marginally conducive for tropical cyclone formation by late Tuesday. The disturbance is then expected to cross the southeastern United States beginning midweek, and some development will be possible once it emerges over the Atlantic waters by late this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-05 19:47:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 051747 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Sep 5 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms within a few hundred miles of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions are conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by midweek while it moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 5 to 10 mph just offshore of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another area of low pressure is forecast to form in a few days well to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some slow development is possible thereafter while the system meanders over the open eastern Pacific Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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