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Tropical Storm Cristobal Graphics

2020-06-03 01:58:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 02 Jun 2020 23:58:47 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 02 Jun 2020 21:25:00 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm Cristobal (AT3/AL032020)

2020-06-03 01:57:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS CRISTOBAL A LITTLE STRONGER... ...HEAVY RAIN AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING THREAT CONTINUES... As of 7:00 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 the center of Cristobal was located near 19.1, -92.3 with movement S at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 997 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

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Tropical Storm Cristobal Public Advisory Number 5A

2020-06-03 01:57:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 700 PM CDT Tue Jun 02 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 022357 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Cristobal Intermediate Advisory Number 5A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020 700 PM CDT Tue Jun 02 2020 ...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS CRISTOBAL A LITTLE STRONGER... ...HEAVY RAIN AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING THREAT CONTINUES... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.1N 92.3W ABOUT 50 MI...75 KM NW OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...S OR 170 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Campeche to Puerto de Veracruz For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal was located near latitude 19.1 North, longitude 92.3 West. Cristobal is meandering generally southward near 3 mph (6 km/h), and a turn toward the southeast and east is expected tonight and Wednesday, followed by a turn toward the north-northeast and north on Thursday night and Friday. On the forecast track, the center will cross the southern Bay of Campeche coast on Wednesday and move inland over eastern Mexico Wednesday night and Thursday, and move back over the Bay of Campeche Thursday night and Friday. Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter reconnaissance plane and surface observations indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional increase in strength is possible until the center crosses the coast. Gradual weakening is forecast while the center remains inland, but restrengthening is expected after Cristobal moves back over water Thursday night and Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 85 miles (140 km) from the center. An automated weather station on a Mexican offshore platform recently measured a sustained wind of 48 mph with a gust to 62 mph. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Cristobal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 10 to 20 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 25 inches over parts of the Mexican states of Tabasco, Veracruz, and Campeche. Cristobal is also expected to produce total rain accumulations of 10 to 15 inches over northern Chiapas, Quintana Roo and Yucatan. Additional rainfall of 10 to 15 inches, with isolated amounts of 25 inches is expected along the Pacific coasts of Chiapas, Guatemala, and El Salvador. Some of these Pacific locations received 20 inches of rain over the weekend, and storm total amounts of 35 inches are possible. Rainfall in all of these areas may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are affecting the coast within portions of the warning area. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Brown/Zelinsky

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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-06-03 01:08:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 022308 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Cristobal, located over the Bay of Campeche. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-06-03 01:02:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 022302 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Jun 2 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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