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Tropical Storm Hilda Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2021-07-31 04:32:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT JUL 31 2021 021 FOPZ13 KNHC 310232 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM HILDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082021 0300 UTC SAT JUL 31 2021 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HILDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 115W 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 115W 34 25 3(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) 10N 120W 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 120W 34 X 18(18) 67(85) 6(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92) 15N 120W 50 X 1( 1) 49(50) 9(59) 1(60) X(60) X(60) 15N 120W 64 X X( X) 22(22) 6(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 38(48) 7(55) X(55) 15N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 3(19) X(19) 15N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 12(20) 2(22) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 15N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 23(29) 20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Tropical Storm Hilda Forecast Advisory Number 2
2021-07-31 04:32:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT JUL 31 2021 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 310231 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082021 0300 UTC SAT JUL 31 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 114.6W AT 31/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 114.6W AT 31/0300Z AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 114.0W FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 13.5N 116.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 14.1N 118.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 14.7N 120.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 15.3N 122.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 15.8N 123.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 16.5N 124.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 18.0N 127.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 19.5N 131.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 114.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-31 01:37:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 302336 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Jul 30 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly- developed Tropical Storm Hilda, located about 800 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on newly-developed Tropical Depression Nine-E, located more than 1200 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles off the coast of southern Mexico have become a little better organized since yesterday. Continued gradual development of this system is expected during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Hilda are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Hilda are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3. Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4. $$ Forecaster Beven
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eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-31 01:16:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 302316 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Fri Jul 30 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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atlantic
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tropical
Summary for Tropical Depression Nine-E (EP4/EP092021)
2021-07-30 22:47:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE OPEN EASTERN PACIFIC... As of 2:00 PM PDT Fri Jul 30 the center of Nine-E was located near 12.3, -125.8 with movement WSW at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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tropical
depression
tropical depression
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