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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-15 13:49:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 151149 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Jun 15 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Carlos, located about 1700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form later this week a couple of hundred miles offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected to be generally favorable for gradual development of this system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by this weekend while it moves slowly northwestward, roughly parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-15 13:48:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 151148 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Jun 15 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Bill, located a few hundred miles east-southeast of Nantucket, Massachusetts. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue over the Bay of Campeche and southern Mexico in association with a broad low pressure area. This system is expected to move little during the next day or two, and any development should be slow to occur during that time period. However, the disturbance should begin to move northward by Thursday, and a tropical depression is likely to form late in the week when the low moves across the central or northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall will continue over portions of Central America and southern Mexico during the next several days. Heavy rains could also begin to impact portions of the northern Gulf Coast on Friday. Please consult products from your local meteorological service for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Showers and thunderstorms have decreased and become less organized during the past several hours in association with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands. Development, if any, should be slow to occur during the next couple of days while the wave moves westward. Thereafter, a combination of dry air aloft and strong upper-level winds should limit the chances of formation when the wave reaches the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Bill are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Bill are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Tropical Storm Bill Graphics
2021-06-15 11:26:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 15 Jun 2021 09:26:24 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 15 Jun 2021 09:26:24 GMT
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Tropical Depression Carlos Graphics
2021-06-15 11:22:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 15 Jun 2021 09:22:38 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 15 Jun 2021 09:28:34 GMT
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carlos
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Tropical Storm Bill Forecast Advisory Number 4
2021-06-15 11:19:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE JUN 15 2021 914 WTNT22 KNHC 150918 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022021 0900 UTC TUE JUN 15 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 67.2W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 27 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 67.2W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.6N 68.5W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 41.0N 62.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 44.7N 57.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 90SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 48.6N 52.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 90SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.5N 67.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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