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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-05-24 01:17:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 232317 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun May 23 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Brown
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-05-24 01:16:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 232316 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun May 23 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Ana, located several hundred miles northeast of Bermuda. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Tropical Depression Ana Graphics
2021-05-23 22:44:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 23 May 2021 20:44:26 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 23 May 2021 20:44:26 GMT
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Tropical Depression Ana Forecast Discussion Number 7
2021-05-23 22:43:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Sun May 23 2021 000 WTNT41 KNHC 232043 TCDAT1 Tropical Depression Ana Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012021 500 PM AST Sun May 23 2021 Other than brief puff of convection late this morning, tiny Ana has been devoid of organized deep convection for several hours. ASCAT overpass data from this morning indicated that the peak winds had deceased to 35 kt. Due to the lack of convection since that time, it is reasonable to assume that the vortex has spun down a bit, and therefore the initial advisory intensity has been lowered to 30 kt. Ana is over cool waters and surrounded by very dry air in the mid-troposphere. The brief convection that did occur today was quickly stripped away, indicating that the anticipated increase in shear has begun. Satellite imagery suggests that the circulation of Ana is approaching a strong subtropical upper-level jet just to its east, which is expected to produce even stronger shear over the cyclone. These conditions should prevent further convection, if any, from surviving, and the cyclone is expected to degenerate into a remnant low by tonight. What is left of Ana's low-level circulation should open into a trough on Monday as it is absorbed by a large baroclinic zone approaching from the northwest. The depression continues to accelerate northeastward, and the forward motion is now northeastward at 15 kt. An accelerating northwestward motion is anticipated until dissipation as Ana gets caught up in increasing deep-layer southwesterly flow. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 23/2100Z 37.5N 57.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 24/0600Z 39.4N 53.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Latto
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Tropical Depression Ana Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
2021-05-23 22:42:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN MAY 23 2021 000 FONT11 KNHC 232042 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012021 2100 UTC SUN MAY 23 2021 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER LATTO
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