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Tropical Storm Philippe Forecast Advisory Number 6
2017-10-29 03:40:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN OCT 29 2017 000 WTNT23 KNHC 290240 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182017 0300 UTC SUN OCT 29 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CUBAN PROVINCES OF ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD... LA HABANA... CIUDAD DE LA HABANA... MATANZAS... CIENFUEGOS... AND VILLA CLARA * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CRAIG KEY TO GOLDEN BEACH * CENTRAL BAHAMAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12-18 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 82.1W AT 29/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 21 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 210SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 82.1W AT 29/0300Z AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 82.5W FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 27.6N 78.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 33.9N 74.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 40.3N 69.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 100SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 48.0N 67.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N 82.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Storm Philippe Public Advisory Number 6
2017-10-29 03:40:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM EDT Sat Oct 28 2017 000 WTNT33 KNHC 290240 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Philippe Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182017 1100 PM EDT Sat Oct 28 2017 ...CENTER OF POORLY ORGANIZED PHILIPPE APPROACHING THE FLORIDA KEYS... ...HEAVY RAINS OCCURRING OVER FROM CENTRAL CUBA ACROSS SOUTHERN FLORIDA TO THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.8N 82.1W ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM NW OF KEY WEST FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Cuban provinces of Isla de la Juventud, La Habana, Ciudad de la Habana, Matanzas, Cienfuegos, and Villa Clara * Northwestern Bahamas A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Craig Key to Golden Beach * Central Bahamas A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12-18 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 24 hours. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Philippe was located near latitude 24.8 North, longitude 82.1 West. Philippe is moving toward the north-northeast near 24 mph (39 km/h). A turn toward the northeast is expected during the next few hours, and a rapid motion toward the northeast is expected Sunday through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Philippe will move across the Florida Keys or the southern tip of the Florida peninsula overnight, and across the northwestern Bahamas Sunday morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. However, Philippe is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone on Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) mainly to the east and southeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Across the northern Bahamas and south Florida including the Keys rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches are expected through Sunday. These rainfall totals may produce flash flooding, especially in urbanized areas. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible across portions of western and central Cuba, which may lead to life- threatening flash floods and mudslides in the higher terrain. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are likely occurring in the warning area across Cuba. Tropical storm conditions are expected to occur in the warning area later tonight across the northwestern Bahamas. Tropical storm conditions are possible across the upper Florida Keys and southeast Florida overnight, and in the central Bahamas by Sunday morning. TORNADOES: An isolated tornado or two is possible across far South Florida and the Florida Keys tonight. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Storm Philippe Graphics
2017-10-29 01:44:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 28 Oct 2017 23:44:45 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 28 Oct 2017 21:24:01 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm Philippe (AT3/AL182017)
2017-10-29 01:43:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...PHILIPPE MOVING OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA... ...HEAVY RAINS OCCURRING OVER CENTRAL CUBA AND SPREADING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA... As of 8:00 PM EDT Sat Oct 28 the center of Philippe was located near 23.7, -82.5 with movement N at 28 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm Philippe Public Advisory Number 5A
2017-10-29 01:43:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 PM EDT Sat Oct 28 2017 000 WTNT33 KNHC 282342 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Philippe Intermediate Advisory Number 5A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182017 800 PM EDT Sat Oct 28 2017 ...PHILIPPE MOVING OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA... ...HEAVY RAINS OCCURRING OVER CENTRAL CUBA AND SPREADING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA... SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.7N 82.5W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM N OF HAVANA CUBA ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SW OF KEY WEST FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...45 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Cuban provinces of Isla de la Juventud, La Habana, Ciudad de la Habana, Matanzas, Cienfuegos, and Villa Clara * Northwestern Bahamas A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Craig Key to Golden Beach * Central Bahamas A Tropical Storm Warning mean s that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12-18 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 24 hours. Interests in the Cayman Islands should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Philippe was located by surface observations, radar data, and satellite images near latitude 23.7 North, longitude 82.5 West. Philippe is moving toward the north near 28 mph (45 km/h). A turn toward the northeast is expected during the next several hours, followed by a faster motion toward the northeast on Sunday and Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Philippe will move through the Straits of Florida this evening, and move across the Florida Keys or the southern tip of the Florida peninsula overnight, and across the northwestern Bahamas Sunday morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) mainly to the east and southeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Philippe is expected to produce the following rainfall totals: The Cayman Islands, western and central Cuba, northern Bahamas: 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum totals of 10 inches through Sunday. These rainfall amounts may produce life threatening flash floods and mudslides. South Florida, including the Keys: 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum totals of 6 inches through Sunday. These rainfall totals may produce flash flooding, especially in urbanized areas. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are likely occurring in the warning area across Cuba. Tropical storm conditions are expected to occur in the warning area later tonight across the northwestern Bahamas. Tropical storm conditions are possible across the upper Florida Keys and southeast Florida overnight, and in the central Bahamas by Sunday morning. TORNADOES: A couple of brief tornadoes are possible across portions of South Florida and the Florida Keys this evening. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
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