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Post-Tropical Cyclone Vicente Wind Speed Probabilities Number 17
2018-10-23 16:33:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE OCT 23 2018 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 231433 PWSEP3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE VICENTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP232018 1500 UTC TUE OCT 23 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE VICENTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Vicente (EP3/EP232018)
2018-10-23 16:33:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...VICENTE DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW WHILE MOVING INLAND OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF MICHOACAN... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 10:00 AM CDT Tue Oct 23 the center of Vicente was located near 18.4, -102.4 with movement NNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Vicente Public Advisory Number 17
2018-10-23 16:33:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT Tue Oct 23 2018 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 231432 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Vicente Advisory Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP232018 1000 AM CDT Tue Oct 23 2018 ...VICENTE DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW WHILE MOVING INLAND OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF MICHOACAN... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.4N 102.4W ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM NNW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Vicente was located near latitude 18.4 North, longitude 102.4 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue today, bringing the system farther inland over Mexico. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The system is expected to dissipate later today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Vicente's remnants are expected to produce 3 to 6 inches of rain with local amounts to 10 inches through today over portions of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco in Mexico. This rainfall could produce life-threatening flash flooding and landslides within mountainous terrain. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Vicente Forecast Advisory Number 17
2018-10-23 16:33:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE OCT 23 2018 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 231432 TCMEP3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE VICENTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP232018 1500 UTC TUE OCT 23 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 102.4W AT 23/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 102.4W AT 23/1500Z AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 102.2W FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.5N 103.2W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 102.4W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Leslie Graphics
2018-10-13 22:40:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 13 Oct 2018 20:40:36 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 13 Oct 2018 21:21:53 GMT
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