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Remnants of FRED Wind Speed Probabilities Number 32

2015-09-06 22:38:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 06 2015 000 FONT11 KNHC 062038 PWSAT1 REMNANTS OF FRED WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015 2100 UTC SUN SEP 06 2015 AT 2100Z THE REMNANTS OF FRED WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH ...LONGITUDE 42.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE IS NO OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR THIS DATE/TIME... AND THEREFORE NO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES CAN BE CALCULATED... $$ FORECASTER PASCH

Tags: number speed wind fred

 

Summary for Remnants of FRED (AT1/AL062015)

2015-09-06 22:37:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...FRED DISSIPATES... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 5:00 PM AST Sun Sep 6 the center of FRED was located near 26.5, -42.5 with movement NNE at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1011 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.

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Remnants of FRED Public Advisory Number 32

2015-09-06 22:37:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM AST SUN SEP 06 2015 000 WTNT31 KNHC 062037 TCPAT1 BULLETIN REMNANTS OF FRED ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015 500 PM AST SUN SEP 06 2015 ...FRED DISSIPATES... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.5N 42.5W ABOUT 1200 MI...1935 KM SW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ Satellite imagery indicates that Fred no longer has a well-defined center of circulation, and is no longer a tropical cyclone. At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the remnants of Fred were located near latitude 26.5 North, longitude 42.5 West. The remnants are moving toward the north-northeast near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue into Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The disturbance is expected to lose its identity over the next day or so. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Pasch

Tags: number public advisory fred

 

Remnants of FRED Forecast Advisory Number 32

2015-09-06 22:37:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 06 2015 000 WTNT21 KNHC 062037 TCMAT1 REMNANTS OF FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015 2100 UTC SUN SEP 06 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 42.5W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 42.5W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 43.0W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER PASCH

Tags: number advisory fred forecast

 

Summary for Remnants of ERIKA (AT5/AL052015)

2015-08-29 19:42:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...ERIKA DEGENERATES TO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE... As of 9:30 AM EDT Sat Aug 29 the center of ERIKA was located near 21.5, -75.9 with movement WNW at 22 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1011 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Tags: summary erika remnants at5al052015

 

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