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Remnants of EIGHT Forecast Discussion Number 16
2016-09-01 10:32:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST THU SEP 01 2016 000 WTNT43 KNHC 010832 TCDAT3 REMNANTS OF EIGHT DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082016 500 AM AST THU SEP 01 2016 Deep convection is now displaced more than 100 nm east of the location suspected to be the center of the tropical depression. However, the 0224Z ASCAT scatterometer overpass showed that the system has opened up into a trough. Thus the system is no longer considered to be a tropical cyclone. Maximum winds continue to be around 25 kt, associated with the remnants of the tropical cyclone. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 01/0900Z 38.2N 69.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...REMNANTS 12H 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Landsea
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Remnants of EIGHT Forecast Advisory Number 16
2016-09-01 10:32:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU SEP 01 2016 000 WTNT23 KNHC 010832 TCMAT3 REMNANTS OF EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082016 0900 UTC THU SEP 01 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 69.2W AT 01/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 69.2W AT 01/0900Z AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.5N 70.1W FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.2N 69.2W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA
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Summary for Remnants of EIGHT (AT3/AL082016)
2016-09-01 10:32:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DEPRESSION DISSIPATES... As of 5:00 AM AST Thu Sep 1 the center of EIGHT was located near 38.2, -69.2 with movement NE at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1010 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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remnants
at3al082016
Remnants of EIGHT Public Advisory Number 16
2016-09-01 10:32:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST THU SEP 01 2016 000 WTNT33 KNHC 010832 TCPAT3 BULLETIN REMNANTS OF EIGHT ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082016 500 AM AST THU SEP 01 2016 ...DEPRESSION DISSIPATES... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...38.2N 69.2W ABOUT 405 MI...655 KM ENE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 1005 MI...1620 KM WSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the remnants of Eight were located near latitude 38.2 North, longitude 69.2 West. The remnants are moving toward the northeast near 15 mph (24 km/h). Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. $$ Forecaster Landsea
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Remnants of EIGHT Wind Speed Probabilities Number 16
2016-09-01 10:32:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU SEP 01 2016 000 FONT13 KNHC 010832 PWSAT3 REMNANTS OF EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082016 0900 UTC THU SEP 01 2016 AT 0900Z THE REMNANTS OF EIGHT WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.2 NORTH ...LONGITUDE 69.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA
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