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Remnants of GRACE Public Advisory Number 17
2015-09-09 16:35:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST WED SEP 09 2015 000 WTNT32 KNHC 091435 TCPAT2 BULLETIN REMNANTS OF GRACE ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072015 1100 AM AST WED SEP 09 2015 ...GRACE DEGENERATES TO AN OPEN WAVE... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.5N 49.0W ABOUT 825 MI...1325 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ Satellite data indicate that Grace no longer has a closed circulation and is now an open wave. At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the remnants of Grace were located near latitude 14.5 North, longitude 49.0 West. The remnants are moving toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected over the next day or two. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Remnants of GRACE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 17
2015-09-09 16:35:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED SEP 09 2015 000 FONT12 KNHC 091435 PWSAT2 REMNANTS OF GRACE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072015 1500 UTC WED SEP 09 2015 AT 1500Z THE REMNANTS OF GRACE WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH ...LONGITUDE 49.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE IS NO OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR THIS DATE/TIME... AND THEREFORE NO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES CAN BE CALCULATED... $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Remnants of GRACE Forecast Advisory Number 17
2015-09-09 16:35:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED SEP 09 2015 000 WTNT22 KNHC 091434 TCMAT2 REMNANTS OF GRACE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072015 1500 UTC WED SEP 09 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 49.0W AT 09/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 49.0W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 48.2W FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 49.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Remnants of FRED Graphics
2015-09-06 22:51:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 06 Sep 2015 20:40:30 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 06 Sep 2015 20:50:47 GMT
Remnants of FRED Forecast Discussion Number 32
2015-09-06 22:39:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST SUN SEP 06 2015 000 WTNT41 KNHC 062039 TCDAT1 REMNANTS OF FRED DISCUSSION NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015 500 PM AST SUN SEP 06 2015 High-resolution visible satellite imagery indicates that the low-level circulation had become elongated and ill-defined. This is further reinforced by a 37 GHz GCOM microwave image showing that the system lacks a well-defined center. Therefore, Fred is no longer a tropical cyclone and advisories are being discontinued. The disturbance should continue on a general north-northeastward heading until it completely loses its identity in a day or so. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 06/2100Z 26.5N 42.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...REMNANTS 12H 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch
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