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Remnants of DOLLY Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2014-09-03 16:40:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED SEP 03 2014 000 FONT15 KNHC 031440 PWSAT5 REMNANTS OF DOLLY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052014 1500 UTC WED SEP 03 2014 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF REMNANTS OF DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE IS NO OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR THIS DATE/TIME... AND THEREFORE NO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES CAN BE CALCULATED... $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Remnants of TWO Graphics
2014-07-23 17:07:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 23 Jul 2014 14:56:48 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 23 Jul 2014 15:03:44 GMT
Remnants of TWO Forecast Discussion Number 8
2014-07-23 16:55:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST WED JUL 23 2014 000 WTNT42 KNHC 231455 TCDAT2 REMNANTS OF TWO DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022014 1100 AM AST WED JUL 23 2014 Visible satellite imagery indicate that the depression has weakened overnight, with only a weak swirl remaining with no deep convection. Low-level cloud motions show no evidence of a closed surface circlation so this is the last advisory on this system issued by NHC. The remnants of the depression are expected to move through the Lesser Antilles this evening with some areas of gusty winds and showers. Further information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 23/1500Z 14.0N 56.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...REMNANTS OF TWO 12H 24/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Blake
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Summary for Remnants of TWO (AT2/AL022014)
2014-07-23 16:55:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DEPRESSION DEGENERATES INTO A TROPICAL WAVE... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 11:00 AM AST Wed Jul 23 the center of TWO was located near 14.0, -56.0 with movement W at 25 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1012 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Remnants of TWO Public Advisory Number 8
2014-07-23 16:55:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST WED JUL 23 2014 000 WTNT32 KNHC 231454 TCPAT2 BULLETIN REMNANTS OF TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022014 1100 AM AST WED JUL 23 2014 ...DEPRESSION DEGENERATES INTO A TROPICAL WAVE... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.0N 56.0W ABOUT 365 MI...590 KM ESE OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.0 WEST. THE REMNANTS ARE MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE LESSER ANTILLES THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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