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Remnants of HUMBERTO Forecast Discussion Number 38
2013-09-19 22:33:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST THU SEP 19 2013 000 WTNT44 KNHC 192032 TCDAT4 REMNANTS OF HUMBERTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092013 500 PM AST THU SEP 19 2013 THE CENTER OF HUMBERTO HAS OPENED UP INTO A TROUGH AS IT BECOMES ABSORBED WITHIN AN APPROACHING LARGE EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE. THE INTENSITY IS ANALYZED TO BE 30 KT...CONSISTENT WITH THE ASCAT PASS FROM LATE THIS MORNING. THE REMNANTS OF HUMBERTO HAVE BEEN MOVING AT 80 DEGREES AT 8 KT. THESE SHOULD ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD AS THEY GET SWEPT UP IN THE WARM SECTOR OF THE EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/2100Z 33.6N 42.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...REMNANTS 12H 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA
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Summary for Remnants of HUMBERTO (AT4/AL092013)
2013-09-19 22:32:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...HUMBERTO DISSIPATES... As of 5:00 PM AST Thu Sep 19 the center of HUMBERTO was located near 33.6, -42.0 with movement E at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Remnants of HUMBERTO Public Advisory Number 38
2013-09-19 22:32:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST THU SEP 19 2013 000 WTNT34 KNHC 192032 TCPAT4 BULLETIN REMNANTS OF HUMBERTO ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092013 500 PM AST THU SEP 19 2013 ...HUMBERTO DISSIPATES... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.6N 42.0W ABOUT 895 MI...1435 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 80 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF REMNANTS OF HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.0 WEST. THE REMNANTS OF HUMBERTO ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT A FASTER RATE OF FORWARD SPEED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED BEFORE THE REMNANTS ARE ABSORBED BY AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE IN ABOUT A DAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA
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Remnants of HUMBERTO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 38
2013-09-19 22:32:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 19 2013 000 FONT14 KNHC 192032 PWSAT4 REMNANTS OF HUMBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092013 2100 UTC THU SEP 19 2013 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF REMNANTS OF HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED NA NA NA NA NA NA NA TROP DEPRESSION NA NA NA NA NA NA NA TROPICAL STORM NA NA NA NA NA NA NA HURRICANE NA NA NA NA NA NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 2 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 3 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 4 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 5 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND NA NA NA NA NA NA NA II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE IS NO OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR THIS DATE/TIME... AND THEREFORE NO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES CAN BE CALCULATED... $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA
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Remnants of HUMBERTO Forecast Advisory Number 38
2013-09-19 22:32:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 19 2013 000 WTNT24 KNHC 192031 TCMAT4 REMNANTS OF HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092013 2100 UTC THU SEP 19 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 42.0W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 80 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 20NE 150SE 50SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 42.0W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 42.5W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N 42.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA
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