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Tropical Storm Kiko Graphics
2019-09-21 04:36:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 21 Sep 2019 02:36:36 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 21 Sep 2019 03:31:35 GMT
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kiko
Tropical Storm Kiko Wind Speed Probabilities Number 35
2019-09-21 04:35:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 21 2019 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 210235 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 35 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132019 0300 UTC SAT SEP 21 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 135W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 12(23) 2(25) X(25) 15N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 20N 135W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
Summary for Tropical Storm Kiko (EP3/EP132019)
2019-09-21 04:35:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...KIKO MOVING NORTHWESTWARD... As of 8:00 PM PDT Fri Sep 20 the center of Kiko was located near 18.3, -130.5 with movement NW at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 997 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.
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kiko
Tropical Storm Kiko Public Advisory Number 35
2019-09-21 04:35:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT Fri Sep 20 2019 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 210235 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Kiko Advisory Number 35 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132019 800 PM PDT Fri Sep 20 2019 ...KIKO MOVING NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.3N 130.5W ABOUT 1365 MI...2200 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kiko was located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 130.5 West. Kiko is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A westward motion is expected on Saturday followed by a west-southwestward motion through early Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening is forecast during the next several days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan
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Tropical Storm Kiko Forecast Advisory Number 35
2019-09-21 04:34:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 21 2019 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 210234 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM KIKO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132019 0300 UTC SAT SEP 21 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 130.5W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 45SE 60SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 130.5W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 130.3W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 18.3N 131.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.0N 132.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 17.2N 133.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 16.6N 134.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.5N 136.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 18.5N 138.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 18.5N 139.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 130.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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