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Tropical Storm Kiko Graphics
2019-09-22 10:57:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 22 Sep 2019 08:57:55 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 22 Sep 2019 09:39:01 GMT
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kiko
Tropical Storm Kiko Wind Speed Probabilities Number 40
2019-09-22 10:57:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 220857 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 40 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132019 0900 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 132.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 135W 34 1 13(14) 13(27) 1(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) 15N 135W 50 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 135W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 7(22) 1(23) 20N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Summary for Tropical Storm Kiko (EP3/EP132019)
2019-09-22 10:57:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...KIKO WEAKER BUT EXPECTED TO RESTRENGTHEN ON MONDAY... As of 11:00 PM HST Sat Sep 21 the center of Kiko was located near 17.0, -132.9 with movement SW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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kiko
Tropical Storm Kiko Public Advisory Number 40
2019-09-22 10:57:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1100 PM HST Sat Sep 21 2019 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 220857 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Kiko Advisory Number 40 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132019 1100 PM HST Sat Sep 21 2019 ...KIKO WEAKER BUT EXPECTED TO RESTRENGTHEN ON MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.0N 132.9W ABOUT 1545 MI...2485 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 235 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kiko was located near latitude 17.0 North, longitude 132.9 West. Kiko is moving toward the southwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A motion toward the southwest or west-southwest is forecast to occur through Sunday night, followed by a westward to northwestward motion Monday and Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some re-strengthening could begin late Sunday, but is forecast to be short-lived with weakening anticipated by Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Tropical Storm Kiko Forecast Advisory Number 40
2019-09-22 10:56:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 220856 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM KIKO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132019 0900 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 132.9W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 235 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 30SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 132.9W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 132.6W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 16.3N 133.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.7N 135.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 10SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.0N 136.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 17.3N 137.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 19.5N 139.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 19.0N 140.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 18.0N 140.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 132.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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