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Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven Forecast Advisory Number 1
2019-09-03 11:03:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 03 2019 000 WTNT22 KNHC 030902 CCA TCMAT2 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072019 0900 UTC TUE SEP 03 2019 CORRECTED TO SHOW TROPICAL CYCLONE STATUS AT 3/1800Z CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM LA PESCA NORTHWARD TO BARRA EL MEZQUITAL. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LA PESCA TO BARRA EL MEZQUITAL A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 94.3W AT 03/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 94.3W AT 03/0900Z AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 94.0W FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 23.4N 95.2W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 23.4N 96.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 23.7N 97.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 24.3N 98.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 94.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 03/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven Graphics
2019-09-03 11:01:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 03 Sep 2019 09:01:34 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 03 Sep 2019 09:31:41 GMT
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Summary for Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven (AT2/AL072019)
2019-09-03 11:00:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...TROPICAL CYCLONE EXPECTED TO FORM LATER TODAY OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO... As of 4:00 AM CDT Tue Sep 3 the center of Seven was located near 23.5, -94.3 with movement W at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven Public Advisory Number 1
2019-09-03 11:00:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Tue Sep 03 2019 000 WTNT32 KNHC 030900 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072019 400 AM CDT Tue Sep 03 2019 ...TROPICAL CYCLONE EXPECTED TO FORM LATER TODAY OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.5N 94.3W ABOUT 220 MI...360 KM E OF LA PESCA MEXICO ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM ENE OF TAMPICO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning from La Pesca northward to Barra El Mezquital. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * La Pesca to Barra El Mezquital A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude 23.5 North, longitude 94.3 West. The system is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue today. A motion toward the west or west-northwest is forecast on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the disturbance is expected to become a tropical cyclone later today and become a tropical storm by tonight. Shower and thunderstorm activity has been steadily increasing in coverage and organization this morning, and the low is likely to become a tropical depression or a tropical storm later today or tonight. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...100 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...100 percent The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area by Wednesday evening, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 6 to 12 inches with isolated amounts of 15 inches will be likely over portions of northeastern Mexico, especially in mountainous terrain. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Hurricane Dorian Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
2019-09-03 06:02:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Tue, 03 Sep 2019 04:02:06 GMT
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